Asset Debt Quantum Self Assembly Saturation Economics: The Reflexic 2/5/4 day : x/2.5x/2x 5 October 2012 Wilshire Transitional Lower High and The System’s Countervailing US Ten Year Note Future’s Transitional Higher Low

Reflexic x/2.5x/2x Lammert Fractals Leading to Final Highs and Turning Points:



The Great Asset Crash

The underlying cause of the countervailing asset valuation saturation curves with the hegemonic US Long term debt occupying one side of Asset Debt System’s dichotomy  and real estate, commodities, and equities occupying the other side is the forward consumption and leveraged Economic system’s relatively enormous amount debt compared to yearly GDP – always at risk for undergoing default and depriving the accumulative system’s assets of its current total denominator of valuation.

By way of example, the world’s hegemony, the United States, currently has about 52 trillion dollars of debt compared to its GDP represents about 28 percent of the outstanding debt.

Credit market debt by sector and asset class (2010 Q1) owed by the United States in billions USD[16]

Bonds

Loans

Mortgages

Other

Total

 % GDP

Financial sector

5612.9 807.7 167.4 8375.3[A] 14963.3 104.9%

Households and non-profits

266.1 335.1 10480.1 2421.8[B] 13503.1 94.7%

Nonfinancial business

4446.6 2835.7 3552.6 74.6[C] 10909.6 76.5%

State and local

2369.8 13.7 2383.5 16.7%

Federal

8283.2 8283.2 58.1%

Total

20976.6 3992.2 14200.1 10871.7 50042.7 351.0%

Since 1978 sector credit (debt) growth and system leverage  and money changing gaming by the Financial Debt Industry has grown in the US  from 400 billion in 1978 to 17 trillion in 2008, a forty-three  fold – 4300 % increase. This compares to a 13-1400 % debt increase in the household sector and a 1200 % debt increase in the business sector.  The US traditional business-household economy has been de facto usurped by the Brussels-London-Wall Street Financial Debt Industries who have used the moneychanging and debt creation properties of the monetary system for leveraged Bain Capital prototype buy-outs and Glass-Steagall illegal financial schemes which have resulted in gross overproduction of assets, gross overvaluation of assets, and debt entrapment and enserfment of a population of  citizens who did not have the wage and earning capacity wherewithal to support the long term obligations of easy credit provided.

Moreover, the Financial Debt Industry funds and controls both political  parties.  There is no hope for a possibility to return to a more reasonable Asset-Debt Economic System sans the dominant valueless added money changing activity of the  Financial Debt Industry.

While the Asset Debt System would undergo similar quantum progression between the countervailing asset classes of hegemonic sovereign debt and all other asset classes, the severity of natural nonlinear changes would be significantly lessened without the non value added and harmful leveraged money changing and debt enserfing activity of the Financial Debt Industry who has first use of the citizen’s wage-service-forward consumption trading exchange medium.

In the end at the transition point of Asset Debt Saturation Economic bad debt undergoes an accelerating exponential  cascade of bad debt default.

This growing default is something that is occurring within the asset debt economic system that is unrealized – and obfuscated by the traditional linearly occurring economic data that is extracted from the system – e.g., a falling unemployment rate of 6.9 %

The time dependent evolving quantum Lammert fractals of the two countervailing asset classes represent the Asset-Debt Economic system’s very precise, very simple, self-assembly math which incorporates and integrates the sum total products of the system’s internal complexity and the ongoing  balance between good repayable debt and defaulting debt, and produces the deterministic minutely, hourly, daily, weekly, monthly, and year fractal patterned activity that is the science of the macroeconomic system.

At a asset-debt system predetermined time there is transitional point when when bad debt will undergo accelerating exponential collapse and default. Held hegemonic bonds will see their value sharply adjusted upward relative to defaulting bad debt.

The time of transition is dependent on the asset class advantaged rules of the Asset Debt Economic system.  The current rules established by the Financial Debt Industry favor equities and speculation over the prudent activity of savings. During nonlinear asset default the Financial Debt Industry has the greatest opportunity for gaming the system and maximally extracting effortless wealth.

Asset classes other than sovereign debt will undergo deflationary collapse as the asset-debt economic system’s denominator of total wealth is lessened by bad debt with prior assumed value that undergoes nonlinear accelerating default.

 

 

 

Asset Debt Saturation Economics: The Self Assembly Terminal Quantum Fractal Growth Finale for the Debt Laden Japanese Nikkei





The ideal growth fractal time sequence is X, 2.5X, 2X and 1.5-1.6X. The first two cycles include a saturation transitional point and decay process in the terminal portion of the cycles. A sudden nonlinear drop in the last 0.5x time period of the 2.5X is the hallmark of a second cycle and characterizes this most recognizable cycle. After the nonlinear gap drop, the third cycle begins. This means that the second cycle can last anywhere in length from 2x to 2.5x. The third cycle 2X is primarily a growth cycle with a lower saturation point and decay process followed by a higher saturation point. The last 1.5-1.6X cycle is primarily a decay cycle interrupted with a mid area growth period. Near ideal fractal cycles can be seen in the trading valuations of many commodities and individual stocks. Most of the cycles are caricatures of the ideal and conform to Gompertz mathematical type saturation and decay curves.  

 G. Lammert

This page was last updated on 15-May-2005 01:21:59 PM .

The September -October 2012 deteriorating lower high final growth valuation of the Nikkei lies at the terminal time region of a 155 year 1858 US hegemonic Second Fractal and at the end of a Financial Debt Industry’s take over of the the Global real economy creating unrepayable  bad debt that has resulted and will result in enormous profits for the Debt Industry and at the expense of the rational borrowing and paying and theoretically tax advantaged interest rate ideal forward consumption real economy. The asset debt economic system’s current  profit and tax rules have been authored by those who own the the system and by the owners’ of system’s politicians and rule writing legislatures…

Expect 158 year US hegemonic second fractal nonlinearity and collapse of equity, commodity, and real estate valuations.

The hegemonic superpower US bond  shall be repaid …  and in a naturally occurring and collapsing deflationary environment  …   will naturally evolve to 150 year historically low US long term interest rates.

Self-Assemby Asset Debt Saturation Economics: The 24 July 2012 Finale  x/2.5x/2.5x. :: 8/21/21 Day Maximum EURO/Wilshire Lammert Growth Fractal: The 14 September 2012 completed first US Dollar Four Phase Lammert First Base Growth Fractal: x/2.5x/2x/1.5x :: 2/5/4/3 Days

Self-Assemby Asset Debt Saturation Economics: The 24 July 2012 Finale  x/2.5x/2.5x. :: 8/21/21 Day Maximum EURO/Wilshire Lammert Growth Fractal: The 14 September 2012 completed first US Dollar Four Phase Lammert First Base Growth Fractal: x/2.5x/2x/1.5x :: 2/5/4/3 Days….. The historical equity/Euro/commodity crash as part of the terminal 1.5x to 1.6x of the fourth decay phase of a Lammert four phase fractal series:  x/2.5x/2x/1.5-1.6x. Starting with the third 21 day fractal of the 8/21/21 day : x/2.5/2.5x maximum growth Lammert fractal series, a 4/10/8/7 day :: x/2.5x/2x/1.5x four phase Lammert fractal series matching a 8/21/16/11 larger 24 July 2012 four phase series… The historical equity/Euro/commodity crash as a 13 September 2012  terminal third portion 2.5y of a y/2.5y/2.5y decay fractal. From 13 September 2012  a 3/8/8 day :: y/2.5y/2.5y Lammert decay fractal. By this  system self assemblyquantum progression the last day of the crash would be Friday  5 October 2012. With trading halts, the 6.5 hours per trading day equivalency might move the equity/commodity/Euro asset classes’ first major nadir of an expected deteriorating 32 months into the next week.

Non-Stochastic Saturation Macroeconomics