The ACWI 3 March 2026 28 day 2nd Fractal of the 17 Feb 2026 11/28/28 day 3-phase crash fractal decay series appears conforming to a 5/10/9/7 day :: 28/70/56-57/42-43 hour :: y/2.5y/2-2.5y’/1.5y’ 4-phase fractal series where the 3rd 56-57 hour 2-2.5y’ subfractal of the series ends on a lower high. This 56-57 hour subfractal is composed of a 12/25/21-22 hour :: x/2.5x/2x 3-phase deteriorating growth fractal series.

The Two Lammert Time-Based Fractal Laws of Self-Assembly:

1. A 4-Phase Series: x/2-2.5x/2-2.5x/1.5-1.6x , where the 3rd fractal ends on a peak or lower high valuation and the other 3 Fractals end on nadir valuations.
2. A 3-Phase Series: x/2-2.5x/1.5-2.5x, where all 3 fractals end on nadir valuations. This can be written as y/2-2.5y/2-2.5y for crash devaluations where ‘y’ denotes declining valuations.

Added 31 March 2026 … A 23-30 % Devaluation in the French CAC by 13 April?

1929 initial DJIA fractal decay series: 10-11/26-27/27 days :: y/2.5y/2.5y

2026 initial ACWI fractal decay series : 17 Feb 2026 11/28/28 days :: y/2.5y/2.5y

1 April 2026 will be day 22 or 2y, a final lower high or lower lower high of the ACWI 28 day 2nd decay fractal following a 3 Mar 2026 5/10/9/7 day :: y/2y/2-2.5y’/1.5y’ 4-phase deteriorating growth and decay (sub)fractal series. (Day 9 of the 3rd fractal of this 5/10/9/7 series is day 22 of the 22 of 28 day 2nd fractal.) The expected 28 day ACWI nadir is 10 April 2028. The complementary hourly ACWI 2nd (sub)Fractal 4-phase deteriorating growth and decay series is 28/70/56/42 hours :: y/2.5y2y/1.5y.

For the French CAC with trading holidays on 3 Apr and 6 Apr, the expected 28 day 2nd Decay Fractal nadir is 13 April 2026. Looking at the first 5 day (5/10/9/7 days) 2nd fractal trendline, the CAC should lose greater than 22% of its 1 April 2026 lower high value by 13 April 2026.

See Lammert Saturation Macroeconomics for French CAC illustrations.

Like 1929, The ACWI peak valuation and decay inflection
had as its root causes: overinvestment, terminal cycle bad and defaulting private credit loans, and asset extreme overvaluation. 1929 occurred near an 1807 36/90 :: x/2.5x 1st and 2nd fractal series ending in 1932 and 2026 occurred near the end of an 1982 13/33 year :: x/2.5x 1st and 2nd fractal series, interpolated in a larger 1807 US hegemonic 36/90/90/54-57 year :: x/2.5x/2.5x/1.5-1.6x 4-phase fractal series.

Why 2026 is markedly different than 1929.

The derivative markets focused on hedged expected interest rates bets make 2026 markedly different, with a likely 2026 significantly greater than 1929 initial peak to nadir collapse following 11/26/26-27 day :: y/2.5y/2.5y 3-phase Lammert fractal crash decay Series

The 21st century emergence of a 0.8 + quadrillion dollar derivative market, 80% which has hedges primarily focused on interest rates is an awaiting nonlinear crash conflagration … as most hedge fund modeling on interest rates and private debt collapse did not factor in the rising interest rates associated with the Israeli-Trump war via the Hormuz closure and the sharply escalating oil, gas, and by product global prices. The derivative modeling with a collapsing private credit fund market (KKR, Blackrock, Apollo, Blue owl, Blackstone, Morgan Stanley, Ares, Tricolor, et.al. ) would have predicted falling interest rates with appropriate collateralized derivative bets. The war has caused rising interest rates and the derivative bets are most assuredly upside down.

Fractal groupings (Fractals) are determined by trendlines.

Observation of the ongoing 17 Feb 2026 11/26/27 day :: y/2.5y/2.5y crash decay fractal series shows that day 5 and day 10 of the 26 day 2nd Fractal Series ( a 5/10/8/6 day subfractal series) are below the 11 day 1st Fractal trendline. Days 5,10, 8, and 6 of this 26 day subfractal series are expected to be nadirs with a trendline from day 1 to day 26 of the 26 day 2nd Fractal below all intervening valuations. How negative will this 26 2nd Fractal trendline be with respect to the 11 day 1st Fractal negative trendline? The poorly bet interest rate derivative markets will add to the 2nd Fractal trendline negativity, with an expected acceleration of the negative slope for the 26-27 day 3rd Fractal as a cascading conflation unfolds.

ACWI 17 Feb 2026 Hourly Fractals and the Hourly Fractal Series correlating to the 17 Feb 2026 11/26/27 day :: y/2.5y/2.5y Lammert 3-phase crash fractal decay series:

Alternate Hourly Second Fractal Decay Series Model:

The effect of the 23 Mar 2026 premarket Presidential announcement on delaying the bombing of Iranian infrastructure. Notice the 70 hour 2nd subfractal not meeting the 26-27 day 2nd fractal Trendline.

A 1982 13/33 year :: x/2.5x major credit/business fractal cycle is ending analogous to the ending of the 1807 36/90 year :: x/2.5x fractal cycle that peaked on 3 Sept 1929 and nadired in 1932. This 1982 cycle peaked on 25 Feb 2026 for the ACWI global equity composite.

Was it the recent ongoing private credit collapse and asset valuation extreme overvaluation or was it the Israeli-Trump war shock that pivoted and inverted the asset valuation growth to asset valuation decay?

Unfortunately, and on many levels, the effects of ‘an uninitiated needless war’ and against the most important of international UN charter regulations will be unknown. The 11 day first decay fractal began on 17 Feb 2026. The Israeli-Trump war was not initiated until 28 Feb 2026

Gold in USD is following the same 17 Feb 2026 3-phase fractal decay pathway as the SPX as the global composite equity ACWI. GBTC, the 5 day a week tradable proxy for crypto, is following a 5 Feb 2026 13/31-32/26-27 day :: y/2.5y/2y 3-phase fractal decay pathway whose 2nd and 3rd fractal decay nadirs align with gold in USD , the SPX, and ACWI.

With collapsing and private debt default denominated in dollars, assets must be sold to repay those debt obligations. From a fractal perspective, private debt default is the primary precipitate of the asset valuation crash, with the Israeli-Trump war a coincidental event causing a perverse escalation of oil and oil byproduct prices, and seriously causing inflation and impacting the world’s producers and the world’s consumer economy.