The 2012 Quadrillion Dollar Equivalent Debt-Asset Self Assembly Deterministic Macroeconomic System: Gold Valued in Dollars at the Terminal Portion of the 155 Year US Equity Second Fractal


Asset-Debt Saturation Macroeconomics:

The US price level dropped 25.9% from 1929 to 1933,  while real GDP dropped 28.7%
Given the drop in real GDP, the US experienced excess  price-level deflation of 34.1%

This was the terminal end of the first subfractal series ending in 1932  of the US Equity 158 year Great Second Fractal starting in 1858 and ending in 2015.

Those in monetary, economic, and political leadership positions at the time of the deflationary collapse of 1929 to 1932 later recanted or revisited their positions of beneficial economic and debt deadwood cleansing by allowing nonintervention free-fall collapse.

Hayek,  Robbins, Mellon, and Hoover all later gained perspective and an appreciation of  the critical effect of the generational boom-bust deflationary collapse on displaced destitute citizens, the global movement towards extremism and  fascism, and the natural progression to a global unprecedented world war.

Ultimately, without demand and credit for anything else,  citizens were paid wages to wage war against other like citizens of the world who had no  peaceful opportunities in a debt and asset saturated macroeconomy.

That was at the terminus of the US 158 year great Second Fractal first subfractal series in 1932.

What will be the response of the political and monetary and treasury system at this the terminal portion of the second subfractal series lasting from 1932 to 2015?

A national real bills doctrine operated by the Sovereign verses the private banks  would directly trade sovereign currency for socially useful real work – no need to go to war to employ citizens and avoid domestic chaos secondary a debt-asset saturated system.

No need to bother or tax the super rich for their contributions to their established system of laws that promotes fraudulent usury, trans generational wealth transference, 400 years of compounding of interest on loaned money not originally in the vault, favored tax advantages on non work related interest and speculative profit, and safe place during major wars….

Let the sovereigns create money to trade for socially useful work within their own countries.

Useful work, services, and products is, after all,  the benchmark for a good currency.

A national real bills doctrine  for all sovereign nations using their own currencies will trade national currency for work sans work as war.

This approach is not inflationary. It just maintains the system and allows the global system to unwind its debt load.

Turning back to the first subfractal ending in 1932 of the 1858 US 155 year second fractal……

Hoover blaming Mellon as a liquidationist …

“Who Were the Liquidationists?
The most widely cited evidence that liquidationism had official influence is a passage from
The Memoirs of Herbert Hoover in which Hoover denounced Mellon for advising him not to interfere with the downturn that began in 1930. Hoover wrote: Two schools of thought quickly developed within our administration discussions: First was the “leave it alone liquidationists” headed by Secretary of the Treasury Mellon, who felt that government must keep its hands off and let the slump liquidate itself. Mr. Mellon had only one formula: “Liquidate labor, liquidate stocks, liquidate the farmers ,liquidate real estate.” He insisted that, when the people get an inflation brainstorm, the only way to get it out of their blood is to let it collapse. He held that even a panic was not altogether a bad thing. He said: “It will purge the rottenness out of the system. High costs of living and high living will come down. People will work harder, live a more moral life. Values will be adjusted, and enterprising people will pick up the wrecks from less competent people.”

 

Saturation Economcs: The Quadrillion Dollar Equivalent Debt Asset System’s Self Assembly Follow-on of the 40,000 Nikkei: 57/129/113 months :: x/2.5x/2x

Saturation Economics…..

From the Main Page of the 2005 The Economic Fractalist
“The ideal growth fractal time sequence is X, 2.5X, 2X and 1.5-1.6X. The first two cycles include a saturation transitional point and decay process in the terminal portion of the cycles. A sudden nonlinear drop in the last 0.5x time period of the 2.5X is the hallmark of a second cycle and characterizes this most recognizable cycle. After the nonlinear gap drop, the third cycle begins. This means that the second cycle can last anywhere in length from 2x to 2.5x. The third cycle 2X is primarily a growth cycle with a lower saturation point and decay process followed by a higher saturation point.”

How much of the world’s private debt, business debt,  poor country sovereign debt, state debt, county debt, city debt, European debt – how much of this accumulative debt is bad debt -that which can not be repaid?

The global debt-asset macroeconomic system is mathematically self assembling in its countervailing asset saturation curves to a nonlinear saturation  break point when the dysequilibrium of too much debt, too many overproduced and over valued assets, and declining total wages from decreasing demand – cannot service the global debt load.

 

 

The countervailing asset saturation curve is long term US debt….

 

Lammert Saturation Economics: The Wilshire 4 June To 14 August 2012 17/34-35 Day :: x/2x Final Lower High Blow-off Valuation

 

The Wilshire is the US 10 Year Note 30 Year Bond  countervailing asset class in the asset-debt macroeconomic system. Both asset classes have ideal fractal terminal patterns on 13-14 August 2012.

Could there be a third fractal in the Wilshire? The fractal pattern of the US bonds are dominant.  It appears that the Wilshire’s 1982 9/23 year x/2.5x pattern and larger 71/155 x/2x year pattern will end in a 17/34-35 day  x/2x mini blow-off pattern before asset debt system synchronous nonlinear decay.

Non-Stochastic Saturation Macroeconomics