Since its March 2020 Covid low valuation, the Wilshire’s valuation growth has been stimulated by unprecedented global central bank historical QE money and MBS credit creation and followed and limited thereafter by  historical QT tightening.

Near annual money supply increased by 25% and thereafter decreased by 4.5 %. These extremes of money/credit creation and contraction caused the self assembly of two sequential fractal series in the global hegemony’s composite Wilshire: a growth series of15/37/31 weeks and a reflexive growth, decay, final growth and decay series of 18/38/40-41 weeks.

This website has attempted to show that global equity and commodity valuations – under the umbrella of supply and demand of property, goods, and credit and more recently of greater central bank influence and manipulation of money and credit supply – grow and decay in elegantly simple well defined optimal self-assembly time based quantitative fractal patterns.

From its March 2020 low  valuation, the Wilshire’s valuation grew in a rapid  first phase 15/37/31 week :: x/2.5x/2x QE   fashion, followed by a second QT phase of final  growth, decay, and secondary growth fashion in a September 2021 18/38/35 of 35-36 week to peak secondary growth fractal series of x/2-2.5x.2x , and collapsing in the final 5 weeks of a composite 18/38/40-41 week decay series: y/2-2.5y/2-2.5y.

The September 2021 18 week base fractal was composed of a 3/8/6/4 fractal series.  The 38 week second fractal was composed of a 7/15/18 week series. The third 35-36 week fractal to final growth valuation was composed of two growth series 4/8/8/5 weeks and 3/7/6-7 weeks.

The final 1/13/2023 12/27/26-27 day :: x/2.5x/2.5.x growth pattern, composing the 3/7/6-7 week fractal series, matches  an 1807 x/2.5x/2.5x :: 36/90/90 year series peaking November 8,2021.

This  November 2021 peak was the 37 week of a 37 week third fractal of an interpolated 15/37/37 week :: x/2.5x/2.5x fractal series from the March 2020 low. and week 5 of the second 8 week fractal of the September 2021 18 week base composed of a 3/8/6/4 week series.

The gapped higher high blow-off of the 1/13/2023 final growth series occurred between 5/31/2023 and 6/2/2023 and can currently be seen on a monthly basis between month 9 and 10 (May and June 2023) of  an interpolated September 2021 4/10/10 month reflexive growth/decay/final growth series.

A nonlinear second fractal 2x-2.5x valuation decay ending would fit an interpolated 1981-1982 13/29-32 year first and second fractal series :: x/2-2.5x.

The Asset-Debt Macroeconomic system is deterministic in its time-based fractal self assembly of its composite asset valuation growth and decay.

There are two observable time based self-ordering simple mathematical fractal series: a 3 phase fractal series of x/2-2.5x/1.5-2.5x and a 4 phase fractal series of x/2-2.5x/2-2.5x/1.5-1.6x. The fractal subunits are defined by nadir valuations with the exception of the 4 phase fractal series whose 3 subunit terminus is defined by a peak valuation or lower high valuation.

For the US Hegemony, a 4 phase long term fractal series undergoing self-assembly is observable as an 1807 series of x/2.5x/2.5x/1.5x with the value x equal to 36 years. Nadir valuations occurred in 1807, 1842/43, and 1932. The 2.5x 90 year third subunit high occurred in November 2021 with an expected low in 2074 for a completed 1807 series of 36/90/90/54 years.

Interpolated in this large 1807 series is an 1981 13/32/32/20 year series ending in 2074. An abrupt ending in the 32 year second fractal of this series is expected.

QE and money printing since 2009 with enormous acceleration in March 2020 and thereafter unprecedented money supply contraction in March 2022 has set the asset grossly-overvalued system for a colossal abrupt 31-32 year second fractal nonlinear devaluation.

The Wilshire is following a 23 March 2020 28/71/68 of 70 week growth and decay fractal pattern with an expected crash devaluation in the next 11 trading days and ending on Friday 26 May 2023. The nadir devaluation dates defining the 28 week first and 71 week second fractals are 9/24/20 and 1/24/2022, respectively. The third fractal of 70 weeks starts on 24 January 2022 and is composed of three subseries: 7/15/18 weeks; 4/9/8/6 weeks and 2/5/3 of 5 weeks, The 4/9/8/6 week series starts on 10/13/22 and is composed of 16/38/30/22 days ::x/2-2.5x/2x/1.5x.

The final 2/5/5 weeks series starts on 3/13/2023 and is composed of 10/23/23 days. The final 23 day third fractal starts on 4/26/2023 and ends on 26 May 2023.

An additional 42 week lower low series would complete a 1993 – 2024 32 year second fractal and a March 2020 28/71/70/42 week series. Rapid lowering of fed fund rates are expected after the crash devaluation.

The WILSHIRE 5000 daily below

There is a mathematical fractal case for an interpolated 1981-82 13/30 year first 13 year base fractal and 30 year second fractal major terminal nonlinearity. This interpolated series is contained within a larger US hegemonic 1807 36/90/90/54 year :: x/2.5x/2.5x/1.5x fractal series with lows in 1807, 1842-43, 1932, and 2074 and a 90 year third fractal high in November 2021.

Both the French CAC and Wilshire are following a x/2.5x/2x/1.5x :: 15/37/30/22 day fractal series starting 12/30/2022 and 12/28/2022 (trading holidays account for the difference of starting dates.) The CAC reached its all time average day valuation high on 4/24/2023, day 30 of the series’ third fractal. The Wilshire’s valuation peaked earlier on 8 November 2021. Both composites are following a March 2020 low 33/66/66-67 week :: x/2x/2x high/lower high valuations. From its 4/24 peak valuation the 22 day 4th decay fractal appears to a 4/21/2023 4/9/7/6 day series with the Wilshire a trading day ahead of the CAC. The Wilshire is currently on day 7 and CAC currently on day 6 of the 9 day second fractal. The 7 day third fractal can be expected to be a valuation increase lateral and upward. The final 6 days would be trade nonlinearly lower with some short counter rallies.

From 1981 to 1993 there is a 10/26/16 quarter first base fractal series totaling 50 quarters. (the 1987 crash was quarter 11, the end of a second sub-fractal of a 26 quarter 5/11/12 quarter series)The 30 year second fractal is composed of 4 sub-series:
1994-2002: 34 quarters: 3/8/6/4 (18) and 3/8/8 (17)
2002-2009: 27 quarters: 3/7/8 (16) and 2/5/5/3 (12)
2009-2016: 29 quarters: 2/5/4/3(11) {(6) composed of a 3/6/8 month fractal series)} and 3/7/6 (14)
2016 to 2024 32 quarters: 4/8/6 (16) 3/7/6/?4 (17)

The total quarters for the first and second fractals are currently 50/116 pacing the timing between 2x and 2.5x (100 and 125) of the second fractal, where terminal nonlinearity could result in 50 percent valuation losses with a lower low valuation in 4 quarters (2024).

This quantitative asset-debt system mathematical fractal model has the appeal of internal consistency.