Saturation Macroeconomics: The US Hegemonic 1807 212 year Third Fractal collapse: 36/90/88 years :: Dec 2018 32/79/77 days … Bitcoin leads the way: a  Deterministic Global Asset Valuation Collapse

The secondary SPX composite equity peak valuation for the global system was on 19 September 2019.  26 July 2019 represented the nominal peak for the SPX US equities composite. 

The coming 8 week  nonlinear devaluation is deterministic, unrelated to political events, and is an inherent expected part of the natural decay process of  the macroeconomic system.

This deterministic asset debt macroeconomic system is self organizing in its  growth, peak asset and debt valuations, and in its fractal time dependent  asset and debt  Gompertz’s like valuation fractal  decays.  

Qualitatively growth phases are self reinforcing and additive and  promote employment which generate more debt based asset growth related to its nature in generating more base borrowing 

… until a saturation peak of debt load, employment, asset valuation and asset ownership is reached for the population constituting the base of the macroeconomic system pyramid.Thereafter,

natural devolution of asset over valuation, over ownership, and bad debt liquidation occur … associated with rapid increases in unemployment and further deleveraging.

This blog observes the macroeconomic system as having  elegantly simple self assembly and deterministic underlying growth and decay fractal mathematical patterns. 

The general growth (x) and decay pattern (y) occurs in a x/2-2.5x/2-2.5x/1.5y four phase fractal pattern and the subset decay pattern occurs in  a y’/2-2.5y’/2-2.5y ‘ time pattern.

For the United States with an initiating base of 18 years starting in 1790, the 1807  x/2.5x/2.5x saturation growth pattern is 36/90/88-90 years (212 years) with 1932 

observed as the end of the second US equity equivalent fractal period. The global macroeconomic system is in its 88th year of a 88-90 year third fractal cycle, defined by its  current hegemonic 

leading country. The 4th phase 1.5y time period decay fractal for the US to complete this cycle is 54 years.

Commodities, Metals, Bitcoin, and Global Composite Equities are at a time dependent edge of an intermediate and significant  nonlinear devaluation. With current debt load of both sovereigns and base populations,

all entities (except US sovereign debt futures)have reached their peak valuations for the third 88-90 year fractal cycle.  All asset and debt valuations are based  on the summation denominator of the total worth of those assets and debts. 

Bitcoin as the most useful of commodities is leading the current intermediate valuation collapse.

US Hegemonic and Global Historical Macroeconomic  Asset Valuation nonlinear fractal decay.

The 32/79/64 day growth pattern for the SPX since the 2018 December low represents confirmation  of the Lammert  self assembly fractal pattern characterizing the system’s maximum growth.  This is the final growth valuation saturation area of a 36/90/88 year US fractal series starting in 1807 with an initiating fractal of 18 years starting in 1790.   Asset valuations have exceeded those

reasonably expected on the base citizens’ wages and are related to the enormous bad debt created by the financial system. A  deterministic devaluation period has begun. Negative interest rates represent the leading edge of that devaluation with outright debt default coming.

The devolution will occur in a deterministic elegantly simple fractal manner which characterizes the asset valuation growth and decay of the global asset debt macroeconomic system.

The 2018 third of the Feb 11 2016 third of the 2009 third of the 1982 third of the 1932 third of the US hegemony  1807  36/90/88 year macroeconomic  asset debt valuation fractal  series began on 2 April 2018.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3bfVxLFHlMM

All asset classes march, or more precisely, are self organized into fractal progressions which characterize the global  macroeconomic system and predict future macroeconomic growth and decay.

That is a profound observation that few of the great economic  Nobel laureates appreciate, although most have  an appropriate  understanding of the patterned recognition of falling and inverting US interests rates with the ten year US note now  yielding less than the 1 month US treasury bill – well associated and antecedent to falling equity valuations and economic recession for the end user citizens of the  global macroeconomic system.

What is happening?

The global macroeconomic system  is nearing  the equity apogee end of the US hegemony starting as a insignificant colony-nation in 1789-90, and initiated with a first class human rights constitution maximally  (to my belief) and disproportionally promoting hegemonic nation economic growth.

The assertion of this poor blog is that macroeconomic growth  progresses and decays  in a fractal  manner.  Very likely the observable universe  and everything in it expands and contracts in  a similar fractal manner, whose math like the Chinese aging methodology  is importantly  different.

For the US progenitor  equity system the fractal progression is 1/2x//x//2.5x//2.5x. this correlates  to 18/36/90/90 years …  approximately …

Incipient unpayable global debt, 14 trillion dollars of debt with negative interest rates, and destabilizing derivative bets on that unstable  global debt system are the exact causes for the ongoing fractal decline in US debt interest rate   or for the more knowledgeable, the paradoxical gains in the growth of US debt future value. 

Importantly All asset class valuations support all other asset valuations….

Individual asset valuation devaluation will  be directly dependent on the totality of ALL composite asset  and debt (also importantly an asset) devaluation (and first time (dt) order valuations/devaluations).

Why are US debt interest rates falling before Federal reserve interest are cuts? Because US debt is ultimately  backed by the composite productivity and nuclear resources and delivery systems of the United States.  Of all global asset class entities,  this is the least worst.

How will further necessary sovereign debt expansion affect the September 2019 decline of global equities?

Likely, for the common global earth citizen, not enough.