It has been the goal of this website to prove that the Global Asset-Debt Macroeconomic system is deterministic and operates to simple mathematical valuation growth and decay fractal laws with enough precision to confer on Macroeconomics the characteristics of a patterned science.

 

 The Great Crash: 3 August 2020   Day 85 of 90 days. The Deterministic Great Global Equity and Commodity Crash:

 

The 3 October 2019 :: 36/90/85 of 90 day :: x/2.5x/2.5x series is fractally self similar to the 1807  US Hegemonic Great Fractal series of  36/91/89 years.

The Global Asset Debt Macroeconomic  System, characterized by the valuations of all its assets, including sovereign debt is quantitatively deterministic. 

Trillions of dollar-equivalents have been borrowed globally building over capacity and creating assets whose characteristics will not repay the debt on the ledgers.

Asset valuations are elevated by that excessive debt creation. 

Excessive debt creation leads to overproduction, over investment, excessive ownership,  and over valuation of assets. 

Valuations self correct in a deterministic nonlinear mathematical fractal manner determined by low nodal valuations.

The current 89 year US Third fractal beginning in 1932 is composed of two yearly subfractal series:  starting in 1932: 10-11/21-22/21-22 years 

and starting in 1982:  9/20/12 years

The final 12 year third fractal of the 1982 9/20/12 year final fractal  beginning in 2009 is composed  of three subfractals. The third subfractal  of this 12 year subfractal series began on 11 February 2016

and is composed of a 10/26/currently (as of August 3) 21 month fractals series.

This current 21 month third subfractal starting 24 December 2018 is composed of two weekly subfractal series:  7/18/18 weeks and 8/19/19 of 20/12-13 weeks …

The second 8/19/19/12-13 week subfractal series began on 3 October 2019 and on a daily basis  is self similar  to the 1807 US Hegemonic  yearly fractal series of 36/91/89 years.  This daily self-similar fractal series starting on

3 October 2019 is composed of 36/90/85 of 90 days with a low point on 1 April 2020 ending the second 90 day subfractal.

The self similarity of 3 October 2019  36/90/85 of 90 day series  to the US Hegemonic 1807 36/91/89 year series serves to validate the simple mathematical fractal nature of the global macroeconomic system.

Palladium in US dollars is also a strong marker  for the validation of the Lammert x/2.5x/2x/1.6x mathematical fractal series. 

3 August 2020 is the 24th week in a  16 August 2018 15/38/30/24 of 24 week :: x/2.5x/2x/1.6x fractal series. Expect palladium to undergo nonlinear devaluation.

This 15/38/20/24 week fractal composes 25 months which is the third subfractal of a  12 January 2016  10/23/25 month subfractal series.

For the DJIA the daily fractal series from 3 October 2019 are:

3 October 2019

first fractal series  7/15/16 days  = 36 days

the 90 day second fractal series is composed of two fractal subseries series:

8//(6/15//13/10) = 48 days  {(8//20//22) = 48 days}

and 

6/15/15/10 = 43 days  ending 1 April 2020

The 90 day  third fractal series

 uses  a 13 day base interpolated in the  last 13 days of the second 90 day fractal 

(a 3/6/6 day) fractal series ending on 1 April 2020)

(13)/31/31 days

 and 9//4/10/5 of 10 days or 9/17 of 22 days

 Global crash devaluations of commodity valuations and equity valuations will occur over the equivalent next 5 trading days.

From the 23 March 2020 global equity lows,  two Lammert y/2-2.5y/2-2.5y decay fractal series appear:

7/15/18 days     and       11/22/18 of 24 days.

The Great Global Equity and Commodity Crash will occur over the next 6 trading days.

 

 

Google’s (Alphabet’s) Interpolated  Self Assembly and Self-Similar Fractal Interpolation into the 1790-2073 284 Year US Great Hegemonic (18)/36/90/89/54 Year :: 0.5x/x/2.5x/2.5x/1.5x Fractal Series

Individual composite  asset valuation Fractal units are  defined by their easily identifiable composite nadir valuations. Nadir US Asset valuations in 1790, 1807, 1842-43, July 1932 and in July 2020 define the yearly  demarcations  of the  respective 18/36/90 and 89 year fractal units. Self similar quarterly, monthly, weekly, daily, hourly, and minutely  fractal series units  compose the sub-fractal series that compose these yearly US Hegemonic Great Fractals. The 18 year fractal from 1790 to 1807 was an ‘initiating’ fractal sequence which has a self similarity and correlation to Google’s (now alphabet’s)  emergence as an IPO entity on 19 August 2004. 

Composite and individual asset valuation growth is dependent on debt expansion creation; hence the appropriate descriptive terminology of the Asset-Debt macroeconomic system.

When the leveraging bad debt is no longer repayable (US corporate debt in 2020), the valuation growth undergoes devolution to a nadir point with counter growth activity in the deterministic march to a yearly low.

 The Asset-Debt Macroeconomic system follows simple mathematical fractal patterns whose exact counterbalancing growth and decay  fractal repetitions  elevate Macroeconomics  to a science.

Reducing these patterned  ‘laws’ to the two most inclusive and most basic self similar fractal series : 

 x/2-2.5x/2-2.5x/1.5-1.6x

*(the 3rd 2-2.5x sub-fractal in this 3 phase growth and one phase  decay fractal  series represents a peak valuation followed by 1.5-1.6x decay)

and

 x/2-2.5x/1.5-2.5x.  

*(the ideal third fractal length is the observed length of the second fractal divided by 2.5)

*(in the July 1932 89 year third fractal both peak growth valuation is closely followed by nonlinear decay occur near the terminal portion of the portion of 1.5-2.5x third sub fractal specifically the final months of the 89th year)

The final weekly fractal sequence ending the 1932 89 year US Great Third Fractal started in  December 2018.  The final weekly Fractal Crash Series: 11/28/28/18 weeks :: x/2-2.5x/2-2.5x/1.5-1.6x

The final 17-18 week fractal series is composed of a 3/7/6/1 of 5 weekly fractal series :: 2/2-2.5x/2-2.5x/1.5-1.6x series. 

The final devolution ending in July 2020  will take the composite global equity indices, commodities denominated in US dollars, including gold and cryptocurrencies  to a low 85 per cent below their 2020 peak valuations.

Google’s initial 8/18/16/13 month fractal starting on 19 August followed  the x/2-2.5x/2-2.5x/1.5-6x pattern.

The 19 August 2004  8 month base  fractal was composed of two 17 and 15 weekly sub-series or 31 weeks.

The first 17 week fractal sub-series was composed of 15/30/38 days ::  x/2-2.5x/1.5-2.5x. The 15 week second of the two  was composed of a  10/21/20/15 day ::  x/2-2.5x/2-2.5x/1.5-1.6x fractal series. The total 31 week base fractal  is  composed of 133 days. 

Self similar to the US 18 year 1790-1807 initiating fractal and its the US  Base fractal of 36 years from 1807-1842-3 would have been a 4 month initiating fractal (66 days) starting on 17-18 May 2004.  The ‘e’ funding based IPO was announced by its founders on 30  April 2004.

The monthly count for the first fractal  was (4)/8/18/16/13 = 55  with 2.5x or  138 months as the  expected maximum  second fractal monthly  length .

The 137 of 138 monthly second fractal  is composed of 4 sub-series: 43//32/32/33 of 34 month series  

a) 43 months  = 5/11/7  + 3/8/8 + 2/4/5 (base subfractal of second 138 month fractal)

b1) 32 months = 6/12/10/7

b2)32 months = 6/13/15 

b3) 34 months =5/12/12/ 7 of 8 (ending July 2020)

b1, b2, and b3 are the components of second sub fractal to the first 43 month sub fractal base. Notice that the 43/95 of 96 months second fractal is also of a configuration of a first and second  x/2-2.5x fractal subsidies.  Second fractal nonlinearity between 2-2.5 x characterizes second fractals. (See blog main page). The  55/138 month and 43/96 month nonlinearity  are synergistic and timed with end of the 89 year end of the 1932 US Third Fractal  in July 2020.

Google’s expected 138 month second fractal will end in July 2020.  Google’s   55 month 5 year ‘first’ fractal served as the initiating base fractal  for a 2.5x 13 year ‘second’  fractal which, like the US 1807 36 year first first fractal to its 1790 18 year initiating fractal series, is the ‘true’ first fractal for Google’s valuation growth ascent.

A 13/28/27 year :: x/2-2.5x/2-2.5x  series (or 54 more years) would coincide with the end of the US  Hegemonic  Asset-Debt Fractal Series of (18)36/90/89/54 years in 2073 :: x/2-2.5x/2-2.5x/1.5-1.6x.

From the SPX March 2020 lows the weekly 3/7/6/1 of 4-5 :: x/2-2.5x/2-2.5x/1.5-1.6x fractal series corresponds to a final SPX  daily fractal sequence  of (1)3/7/4(13)//(29)//(26)//(1of 19)days :: x/2-2.5x/2-2.5x/1.5-1.6x.

The terminal low for composite equities, the CRB index, gold in US dollars and bitcoin in US dollars  will occur on 18 July 2020  if trading halts don’t extend the final low valuations to a later July 2020 date.

This will end the 89 year US Hegemonic Asset-Debt Macroeconomic Third Fractal  beginning in July 1932 and commence the 54 year US 4th Fractal.