12 November 2024: The Global Equity Synchronized Crash Nadir Day

The Sensex, the Shanghai Composite, the Nikkei, the US SPX, the European STOXX 600, the FTSE 350, and the global Composite ACWI ETF all have daily fractal patterns ending in a synchronized great global equity (and commodity and crypto) crash on 12 November 2024.

Looking at the FTSE, the crash low appears to be on Friday 8 November completing a 20/50 day :: x/2.5x fractal series.

However, the FTSE had a trading holiday on 26 August 2024. For the European composite market, the STOXX 600, the first fractal is 21 days in length (x) with an expected second fractal of 2.5x or a 52 days with the crash low ending on Tuesday 12 November 2024. For the STOXX 600 (see below) note the nonlinear break between day 42 2x and day 43, the 2x-2.5x second fractal window. The final decay series starts on 18 Oct at the peak of a 2/5/4 day growth fractal series better seen on the FTSE 350 chart above and follows a 3/8/6/4 day progression :: x/2.5x/2x/1.5x.

This a STOXX chart from Thursday 7 November at the early-mid trading day.

India’s BSE had an average high valuation peak on 27 September 2024 and is following a 6/15/9 of 12 day :: y/2.5y/2y 3 phase Lammert decay fractal series ending in a crash nadir on 12 November 2024.

The Hang Seng Index and Shanghai Composite share a 17 September to 12 October 2024 4 phase 3/8/7/4 day terminal crash fractal pathway.

From 5 August to 12 November the Nikkei is following a 21/44 of 47 day first and second fractal series, The 47 day second fractal is composed of a 7/18/14/8 of 11 day fractal series.

Finally the US SPX. Below shows the 5 August fractal progression of a 1st and 2nd fractal series of 21/51 days ending 12 November. It is possible that the progression could be extended a day to 13 Nov following a 3/7/7/4 day or a 3/7/6/5 day fractal progression and resulting a 21/52 day :: x/2.5x 1st and 2nd fractal series. All of the above series could likewise have an additional day to reach the nadir and still conform to the two elegantly simple self-ordering valuation growth and decays laws that govern the asset debt macroeconomic system.

Presidents Hoover and Trump, Victims Of Timing: the Nov 2024 Crash Is Still On …

The American people have spoken: inflation and open borders are more important issues than abortion rights and perceived threats to democracy. The macroeconomic asset debt system is indifferent to the occupation of political offices … this is true in America, China, Europe, Japan, Russia, et. al. Excessive debt and overproduction and overvaluation of assets .. based on that excessive debt … have inevitable negative outcome consequences.

The day after the US elections, 6 Nov, a great divergence occurred between the European stock composite and US equity composites. The European STOXX 600 ended down 0.54%, while near the same trading hour, the US SPX was up over 2%.

As Ford goes … so goes the US economy; transportation is needed at the base of the macroeconomic pyramid to move people to work and product to market.

Below is the depiction of the current fractal progression for Ford from 5 August 2024.

The 5 November 2024 Global Equity Crash: Initial Synchronized Second Fractal Nonlinearity

From the 2005 Main page of The Economic Fractalist : “A sudden nonlinear drop in the last 0.5x time period of the 2.5X is the hallmark of a second cycle (SECOND FRACTAL) and characterizes this most recognizable cycle.”

The 1807 36/90/90/54 year :: x/2.5x/2.5x/1.5x fractal cycle ending in 2074 had in the terminal portion of its 90 year 2.5x second cycle or fractal ending in 1932, relative nonlinearity in equity and commodity valuations from 1929 to 1932.

After a 1932 10+/21-22/21-22 year :: x/2x/2x growth fractal ending in 1982, a 13/ 32 year interpolated 1st and 2nd fractal series from 1982 to 2025 is expected to end in a relative nonlinear devaluation of equities and commodities. The 90 year 2nd Fractal ending in 1932 with a 36 year first fractal occurred over 32 months from its final peak to its nadir. With a 1982 year 13 year first fractal, by proportionality, this might occur in 9-10 months.
Below are four first and second fractal series dating from about 1982, March 2020, and 27 October 2023.
The first is composed of a 1982 49-51 quarter/ 126 quarter :: x/2.5x first and second fractal series ending in about June 2025.
The second is a March 2020 19/39 of 46-48 month :: x/2-2.5x first and second fractal series.
The third is a 27 Oct 55/139 day :: x/2.5x first and second fractal series ending on 5 August 2024.
The fourth is a 27 Oct 74/185 day :: x/2.5x first and second series ending 5 November 2024.

A 1982 49-51 quarter/ 126 quarter :: x/2.5x first and second fractal series ending in about June 2025. the first 49-51 quarter fractal is composed of a 10/25/16-18 quarter fractal series. The last three quarters of the 51 quarter first fractal appears to be shared with the 126 quarter 2nd fractal. The 126 quarter second fractal is composed of a 60 quarter sub cycle and a 67 quarter subcycle as below.

The first 60 quarter subcycle of the second fractal of a 1982 49-51 quarter/ 126 quarter :: x/2.5x first and second fractal series ending in about June 2025.

The second 67 quarter sub cycle of the second fractal of a 1982 49-51 quarter/ 126 quarter :: x/2.5x first and second fractal series ending in about June 2025.

A March 2020 19/39 of 46-48 month :: x/2-2.5x first and second fractal series.

A 27 Oct 55/139 day :: x/2.5x first and second fractal series ending on 5 August 2024.

A 27 Oct 74/185 day :: x/2.5x first and second series ending with an initial crash on 5 November 2024 and continuing with lower growth and greater decay cycles with a nadir in about June 2025.