It’s only math after all. And the Chinese property Index tells it all for a deflationary collapse …
For the ACWI from the 7 April 2025 low:10/25/20 days :: X/2.5x/2x and 3/8/8 days:: x/2.5x/2.5x,
For Bitcoin’s proxy: GBTC from the 2015 low: 14/28(6/12/12) quarters :: x/2x and from the Dec 2023 low 25/62/50 weeks x/2.5x/2x …
For the Bank of Shanghai from the Dec 2023 low: 28/56 weeks :: x/2x …
And for the Shanghai property index from the April 2024 low: 16/37/18 days…
The US 1982 13/33 year fractal cycle ending in 2026 is conjoined with the Nikkei’s fractal growth which began from post WW2 humble beginnings in 1949 to a 1989/1990 behemoth peak valuation along with Japanese real estate, far above the inflation adjusted recent 2024-2025 peak valuations.
Japan’s unique six sigma error manufacturing, has created high quality items which have resulted in an about neutral import/export trade balance over 40 years. Number 45-47 president’s tariffs on Japanese goods represent an act-of-war accelerant to an inevitable 2026 global economic deflationary collapse.
The SPX after a 7 April 10/25/19-20 day :: x/2.5x/2x fractal series, extended its growth valuation in a 2/5/5 day manner peaking on 3 July 2025. The 5/13/12/7 day 4-phase decay fractal series from the 19 Feb 2025 previous peak valuation concluded a 27 Oct 2023 4/8/9 month fractal series, part of a 4/6/9/6 month fractal series ending in September 2025.
The Nikkei from its 1949 incipient base fractal of 19 years is following a 19/42/37-42/25-27 year series ending synchronistically with the US 1807 36/90/90/54-57 year :: x/2.5x/2.5x/1.5-1.6x 4-phase hegemonic fractal series.
A Nikkei 2008 4/8/9 year 19 year crash nadir in Sept-Oct 2026 will be followed by a 18-23 year peak valuation supported by global use of MMT expansion of individual sovereign currency providing support for global retirees and causing historical, albeit, measured inflation.
The monthly Nikkei fractal projections from the March 2020 Covid nadir low is shown below.
The daily projections from the 7 April 2025 low in completing the 24 month second fractal of a terminal 11/24/14-15 month :: x/2-2.5x/1.5-1,6xi fractal series is shown below.
The above daily SPX chart is from midday trading on 27 June 2025 where the SPX gapped to an opening new high valuation exceeding the previous 19 Feb 2025 high, completing a 10/25/24 day x/2.5x/2.5x near maximum growth fractal series.
the terminal 4th subfractal of 7 days of the 5/11/10/7 days series would form the base for a 7/15-18/15-17/11 day decay fractal series similar to the 5/13/12/7 days 4-phase decay series from the 19 Feb 2025 previous peak valuation.
From The 27 October 2023 SPX low the current fractal model is 4/8/9/3 of 6 months. The above daily 4-phase decay fractal series will complete the 6 month 4th fractal. The fractal model for the Nikkei from its Dec 2022 low is 11/21 of 24/13-14 months following a self similar x/2-2.5x/1.5x’ series of March 2020 low of 8/17/11 months. Interestingly GBTC, Bitcoin’s proxy, is following the Nikkei latter fractal pathway.
The global macroecomomy is, de facto, following collaborative central bank MMT, Modern Monetary Theory, dynamics where central banks can create money and credit via digital computerized manipulation. This activity in the remote past would have been considered fraud, but no more.
After a moderate to severe recession with real personal bankruptcies, caused by excessive debt load of private citizens, who, unlike central banks and their first credit user-partners cannot manipulate/create/borrow money, the system will reboot itself with ever higher inflation and wealth disparity.