All posts by Gary Lammert

The Nikkei’s Low to High March 2020 to June 2023 x/2-2.5x/2x :: 33/72/66 Week Final Valuation Blow-off Growth – and Expected Valuation Collapse

The Global macroeconomy is tightly interwoven with the use of central bank debt to create job growth and maintain forward prosperty. The Japanese Nikkei has expanded in valuation since the global banks’ unprecedented QE program following the Covid pandemic.

Nikkei valuation growth since March 2020 has followed a perfect self-assembly Lammert fractal growth pattern first described in the 2005 face page of this web site. A three phase growth fractal series of x/2-2.5x/2x :: 33/72/66 weeks is easily observable in the above Nikkei March 2020 to June 2023 weekly charts with the 3 fractal series delineated by green curvilinear lines.

The three fractals making up this series are a series of sub fractals:

33 week first fractal: composed of a 6/15/14 week: x/2.5x/2-2.5x fractal series

72 week second fractal : composed of 14/30/30 week: x/2-2.5x/2-2.5x fractal series with a second fractal characteristic nonlinear lower low gap between week 71 and 72, corresponding to between week 29 and week 30 of the third subfractal and described in the 2005 face page.

66 week third fractal composed of a 15/30/23 week fractal series; the 23 week final third fractal is composed of two weekly subseries: 3/6/4 weeks and 3/7/6 weeks.

A 7 week crash devaluation would complete a 15/30/30 week third fractal and result in a 33/72/73 week decay series dating from the March 2020 low. A final 42 week self assembly would complete a 33/72/73/42 week :: x/2-25x/2-2.5x/1.5x’ fractal series and complete the Global QT equity phase ( as interest rates are lowered during the phase of job loss, macroeconomic recession, equity and commodity decline)

The Nikkei’s final 23 weeks of growth of 3/6/4 and 3/7/6 weeks correspond to 11/25/16 days :: x/2.5x/1.5x and 11/27/27 days :: x/2.5x/2.5x.

The Nikkei’s final 3/15/2023 11/27/27 day blow-off growth fractal corresponds to a 3/13/2023 Wilshire 12/27/30 day :: x/2-2.5x/2.5x final growth fractal.

From its March 2020 low the Wilshire grew in a QE 15/37/38 week x/2.5x/2.5x maximum fractal fashion to its November 8 2021 1807 36/90/90 year :: x/2.5x/2.5x fractal series maximum growth high valuation. Consumer-inflation- fighting QT began 4 October 2021 with an 18/38/36 week :: x/2-2.5x/2x reflexive second fractal decay and third fractal high matching the Nikkei June 15/16 2023 high. A wilshire subsequent decay fractal of 18/38/43 weeks :: y/2-2.5y/2-2.5y would match the intermediate ending of a Nikkei 33/72/73 week decay series, the third 73 week fractal made of a 15/30/30 week :: y/2y/2y fractal series.

Global equities can be expected to collapse over the next 7 weeks and in a fractal manner. Fractal decay possibilities include a 7/15-17/17-15 day decay series :: y/2-2.5y/2-2.5y or a 8/18-20/12 day decay series :: y/2-2.5y/1.5y. Chinese, US and European real estate valuations and equity valuations are grossly overpriced compared to ongoing mortgage rates, US ten year bonds, wages, and outstanding composite private, corporate, and individual debt to GDP ratio’s.

Be prepared for a 1981-1982 13/30 year first and second fractal x/2-2.5x nonlinear second fractal corrective nonlinear devaluation reckoning.

The Wilshire’s March 2020 Historical Sequential QE/QT Two Phase Self Assembly Process Composed of Two Fractal Series: 15/37/31 Weeks and 18/38/40-41 Weeks, Respectively; The Wilshire’s 1/13/2023 Final x/2.5x/2.5x ::12/27/26-27 Day Blow-off Valuation Fractal Growth Series

Since its March 2020 Covid low valuation, the Wilshire’s valuation growth has been stimulated by unprecedented global central bank historical QE money and MBS credit creation and followed and limited thereafter by  historical QT tightening.

Near annual money supply increased by 25% and thereafter decreased by 4.5 %. These extremes of money/credit creation and contraction caused the self assembly of two sequential fractal series in the global hegemony’s composite Wilshire: a growth series of15/37/31 weeks and a reflexive growth, decay, final growth and decay series of 18/38/40-41 weeks.

This website has attempted to show that global equity and commodity valuations – under the umbrella of supply and demand of property, goods, and credit and more recently of greater central bank influence and manipulation of money and credit supply – grow and decay in elegantly simple well defined optimal self-assembly time based quantitative fractal patterns.

From its March 2020 low  valuation, the Wilshire’s valuation grew in a rapid  first phase 15/37/31 week :: x/2.5x/2x QE   fashion, followed by a second QT phase of final  growth, decay, and secondary growth fashion in a September 2021 18/38/35 of 35-36 week to peak secondary growth fractal series of x/2-2.5x.2x , and collapsing in the final 5 weeks of a composite 18/38/40-41 week decay series: y/2-2.5y/2-2.5y.

The September 2021 18 week base fractal was composed of a 3/8/6/4 fractal series.  The 38 week second fractal was composed of a 7/15/18 week series. The third 35-36 week fractal to final growth valuation was composed of two growth series 4/8/8/5 weeks and 3/7/6-7 weeks.

The final 1/13/2023 12/27/26-27 day :: x/2.5x/2.5.x growth pattern, composing the 3/7/6-7 week fractal series, matches  an 1807 x/2.5x/2.5x :: 36/90/90 year series peaking November 8,2021.

This  November 2021 peak was the 37 week of a 37 week third fractal of an interpolated 15/37/37 week :: x/2.5x/2.5x fractal series from the March 2020 low. and week 5 of the second 8 week fractal of the September 2021 18 week base composed of a 3/8/6/4 week series.

The gapped higher high blow-off of the 1/13/2023 final growth series occurred between 5/31/2023 and 6/2/2023 and can currently be seen on a monthly basis between month 9 and 10 (May and June 2023) of  an interpolated September 2021 4/10/10 month reflexive growth/decay/final growth series.

A nonlinear second fractal 2x-2.5x valuation decay ending would fit an interpolated 1981-1982 13/29-32 year first and second fractal series :: x/2-2.5x.

Global Equity, Crypto, Commodity Crash Devaluation Over the Next 11 Trading Days Ending 26 May 2023. The 23 March 2020 Extreme QE Followed by Extreme QT 28/71/68 of 70 week Self Ordering Fractal Series

The Asset-Debt Macroeconomic system is deterministic in its time-based fractal self assembly of its composite asset valuation growth and decay.

There are two observable time based self-ordering simple mathematical fractal series: a 3 phase fractal series of x/2-2.5x/1.5-2.5x and a 4 phase fractal series of x/2-2.5x/2-2.5x/1.5-1.6x. The fractal subunits are defined by nadir valuations with the exception of the 4 phase fractal series whose 3 subunit terminus is defined by a peak valuation or lower high valuation.

For the US Hegemony, a 4 phase long term fractal series undergoing self-assembly is observable as an 1807 series of x/2.5x/2.5x/1.5x with the value x equal to 36 years. Nadir valuations occurred in 1807, 1842/43, and 1932. The 2.5x 90 year third subunit high occurred in November 2021 with an expected low in 2074 for a completed 1807 series of 36/90/90/54 years.

Interpolated in this large 1807 series is an 1981 13/32/32/20 year series ending in 2074. An abrupt ending in the 32 year second fractal of this series is expected.


QE and money printing since 2009 with enormous acceleration in March 2020 and thereafter unprecedented money supply contraction in March 2022 has set the asset grossly-overvalued system for a colossal abrupt 31-32 year second fractal nonlinear devaluation.

The Wilshire is following a 23 March 2020 28/71/68 of 70 week growth and decay fractal pattern with an expected crash devaluation in the next 11 trading days and ending on Friday 26 May 2023. The nadir devaluation dates defining the 28 week first and 71 week second fractals are 9/24/20 and 1/24/2022, respectively. The third fractal of 70 weeks starts on 24 January 2022 and is composed of three subseries: 7/15/18 weeks; 4/9/8/6 weeks and 2/5/3 of 5 weeks, The 4/9/8/6 week series starts on 10/13/22 and is composed of 16/38/30/22 days ::x/2-2.5x/2x/1.5x.

The final 2/5/5 weeks series starts on 3/13/2023 and is composed of 10/23/23 days. The final 23 day third fractal starts on 4/26/2023 and ends on 26 May 2023.



An additional 42 week lower low series would complete a 1993 – 2024 32 year second fractal and a March 2020 28/71/70/42 week series. Rapid lowering of fed fund rates are expected after the crash devaluation.

The WILSHIRE 5000 daily below