All posts by Gary Lammert

The 6-8 August 2012 Conclusion of the 4 July 2012 Wilshire First and Second Subfractal x/2x Self Organizing Series :: 16/32 Days – And Associated Nonlinear Loss of 1/2 Trillion Valuation.


US employment news, news about the Troika imprisonment bailout for the Greeks, US and European puny GDP estimations, baltic dry weight traffic, municipality bankruptcies, bank failures, MidEastern crisis news, political have and have-not diatribe polarization trifling driblets – are all true true and yet merely epiphenomena  dependent variables of the self assembly one quadrillion US equivalent dollar global asset-debt saturation macroeconomic system.

The Wilshire’s  third subfractal with a 7 day expected apogee  begins on 8 August 2012.

The Global Asset-Debt Self-Assembly Macroeconomic System – August 2012 as the Final Global Equity Lower High: The March 2003 to August 2012 x/2.5x/2x :: 21/52/42 Month Nikkei

From the 2005 Main Page of The Economic Fractalist:

” The ideal growth fractal time sequence is X, 2.5X, 2X and 1.5-1.6X. The first two cycles include a saturation transitional point and decay process in the terminal portion of the cycles. A sudden nonlinear drop in the last 0.5x time period of the 2.5X is the hallmark of a second cycle and characterizes this most recognizable cycle. After the nonlinear gap drop, the third cycle begins. This means that the second cycle can last anywhere in length from 2x to 2.5x. The third cycle 2X is primarily a growth cycle with a lower saturation point and decay process followed by a higher saturation point. The last 1.5-1.6X cycle is primarily a decay cycle interrupted with a mid area growth period. Near ideal fractal cycles can be seen in the trading valuations of many commodities and individual stocks. Most of the cycles are caricatures of the ideal and conform to Gompertz mathematical type saturation and decay curves.  

 G. Lammert

This page was last updated on 15-May-2005 01:21:59 PM .”

Why August 2012 as the Final Lower Global Equity High?

 August 2012 completes a  21/52/42 month :: x/2.5x/2x ideal Nikkei three phase fractal growth series which began on 11 March 2003.  August 2012 is the 42nd month of the 42 month third  growth fractal of the 21/52/42 series.

The expected fourth fractal of this series would ideally be 1.5-1.6x or 32-34 months which coincides with the 1929-1932 and 2000-2003 peak to nadir equity valuations.

113 months compose the March 2003 to August 2012 Nikkei 21/52/42 month final Lammert growth fractal series.

This 113 months composes the third fractal of a much larger Nikkei fractal series: a 57/129/113 :: x/2-2.5x/2x Nikkei declining fractal growth series beginning in late 1987.

Inflation adjusted for late 1987 the Nikkei has lost well over 90 percent of its peak valuation.

Most substantially this is the terminal time  area of the US asset-debt system’s second fractal beginning in 1858.  A 155 year second fractal nonlinear asset devaluation transformation of historical proportions  will occur and is well timed with the European Euro debt-asset system debt default and disintegration and the correlative US state, county, and city  municipalities debt default and disruptive restructuring.