The October Global Equity Crash Surprise: The Lammert 4-Phase Initial Base Crash Fractal Series: 2/5/5/3weeks :: X/2.5X/2.5X/1.5X

Like other October presidential election surprises, the crash will not have much effect on American voters. The plurality of Americans will vote for their individual autonomy, continuation of American institutions, prudent leadership in maintaining nuclear arms stability, and continued economic support of social programs and labor markets by central banks and central governments.

The 1/2 quadrillion dollar equivalent Global Asset-Debt Macroeconomic system is deterministic, self correcting; the self determination of the system in times of excess debt, excess asset creation, and asset overvaluation is simply an order or several orders of magnitude greater than the capabilities of political and central banks’ interventions to contain a major self correction of asset overvaluation.

The March 2020 post Covid global central bank QE and thereafter QT program to respectively boost and thereafter constrain economic growth have resulted a yotal global equity index proxy, ACWI, 8/24/24/3 of 13-15 month 4-phase self-ordered fractal series. The CCP Chinese markets, a component of the ACWI have fared much worse, under the influence of a historical deflationary housing bubble collapse.

The March 2020 to approximately September- October 2024 ACWI Lammert 4 phase fractal is shown below.


The daily and weekly fractals from 5 August to 25 October which represent the initial 3 month base decay fractal in the above image are shown below.

Added 11 PM EST 15 October 2024:

Maximum x/2.5x/2.5x growth; then 1.5x decay: The 5 August to 14-15 October 2024 7/18/18/10-11 day European 600 Lammert Crash Decay Series.


5 October 2024
Global equities are the most favored and tax advantaged of all investment instruments. Instead of providing tax advantages for the use of corporate profits for R and D and new product development and maximizing sovereign industrial and manufacturing growth, corporate-influenced legislation has promoted the use of corporate profits for trillions and trillions of dollars for stock buy-backs, further advantaging equity valuations. This is why there is the maximum 2.5x time growth for the self-assembly of 2nd and 3rd growth fractals. After the Oct 2025 crash low for global equities, this maximum time based growth will be the rule for the next 32-33 years.

The British European 600 stock index is following a similar Lammert fractal pattern as the global ACWI equity index and the Nikkei composite. While The nikkei has had (and will have) 4 trading day holidays in the 5 August to 14-15 October 2024 time frame, the British European index has had only 1.

From the 5 August 2024 low, the British European 600 stock index is following a self ordered self-assembly 7/18/18/4 of 10-11 day :: x/2.5x/2.5x/1.5x maximum time growth 4-phase Lammert fractal series ending 14-15 October 2024. Containing the 1 October 2024 10-11 day 4th decay fractal(2/5/5 days or 2/5/4/3 days) is an interpolated peak 27 September 2024 3/4 of 6/5-6 day :: y/2y/1-6-2y 3 phase Lammert Decay Series.

Added 6 October 2024

Confirmation of the 27 October 2023 to 15 October 2024 1st and 2nd fractals: The Russell 2000 weekly fractals since October 2023

From 27 Oct 2023 to 15 October 2024, the Russell 2000 is following a 16/37 week :: x/2x-2.5x 1st and 2nd fractal weekly pattern. The 37 week 2nd fractal currently at 35 weeks is following an 11/25 of 27 week :: x/2x-2.5x interpolated 1st and 2nd fractal series. The final 11 weeks of the 27 weeks is composed of a 2/4/5/1 of 3 week fractal series ending 15 October 2024. Downward global equity valuation nonlinearily will be evident over the next 7 trading days . If proportional fractal similarity is shared with the 1929 to 1932 decline, this 2/4/5/3 or 11 week 4-phase Lammert crash fractal series will be the 1st fractal base for a 11//22//(5/12-13/11-10/7 = 32)week crash fractal series ending Oct 2025.