Global composite equity indexes; real estate index funds, the proxy for real estate; debt, and commodity valuations of the asset-debt global macroeconomy are perfectly and exactly correctly priced along their respective minutely, hourly, daily, weekly, monthly and yearly time fractal unit saturation trading curves. This system is comprehensively integrative and perfect in its valuation process.
Each composite asset is perfectly valued with its individual denomination based in the ongoing totality of the cumulative valuation worth of the entire asset debt macroeconomic system.
This blog observes the elegantly simple fractal growth and decay patterns defined both by nadir composite valuations by which the asset debt macroeconomic system is defined and the progression of those valuations, which occur in well-defined quantitative fractal patterns. This underlying growth, decay, and the quantitative mathematical cyclical fractal nature of the system represents the patterned science of the global asset debt macroeconomy.
The nadir to nadir cycles occur because of unrepayable bad debt accumulation relative to asset over valuations of the system caused directly by that relative excessive expansion.
The 90 year third fractal nonlinear devolution conclusion of the US hegemonic 1807 36/90/89 year :: x/2.5x/2.5x Great Fractal series is near. A 54 year 4th fractal will end the US hegemonic series in 2073.
The 1932 89 year US third fractal is composed of two yearly subfractals: a 10/20-1/20-1 year x/2x/2x fractal ending in 1982 and a 9/20/12 :: x/2-25x/1.5x year fractal series ending in 2020.
The third of third fractal beginning in December 2018 is composed of two weekly decay subfractal series of 6/15/15 weeks :: y/2.5y/2.5y and 8/18/16 of 18 weeks :: y/2-2.5y/2-2.5y and one interpolative 11/28/28/18 week decay fractal series:: y/2.5y/2.5y/1.6y. The expected low for the system is 28 May 2020.
N. Roubini offers the qualitative pathway forward for the Global Asset Debt Macroeconomic System.