WHY A SPX OF LESS THAN 1000 BY JUNE 18 2020? BECAUSE AN ACCUMULATED PROPORTIONAL SUN TO EARTH MASS AMOUNT OF UNSUSTAINABLE BAD GLOBAL CORPORATE, PRIVATE, FEDERAL, STATE-EQUIVALENT AND MUNICIPALITY DEBT – WITH OPPOSITIONAL SOCIAL AND GOVERNMENTAL CONTRACT OBLIGATIONS – ARE NOW UNDERGOING A NONLINEAR PHASE TRANSITION OF REVALUATION COLLAPSE – AKIN TO AN AGED STAR WITHOUT SUFFICIENT NUCLEAR FUEL UNDERGOING BLACK HOLE COLLAPSE

From the December 2018 SPX weekly low:

11/26/26/16 of 18 week final fractal series :: x/2.5x/2.5x/1.6y.

Nonlinearity and rapid phase transitions are  characteristic of the observable universe: supernova and GRB events, black hole event horizons, tornados, earthquakes,  breaking dams, mudslides and  death.

Observable from the December 2018 low for the hegemonic US proxy SPX and concluding the US Hegemonic 89 year Third Fractal starting in 1932 and  which was composed of two subfractal series  of 51 and 39 years: 

 is a  11/26/26/16 of 18 week fractal :: x/2.5x/2.5x/1.6y.

Historical US Third Fractal 89 year nonlinearity is expected  over the next 7 equivalent trading days.

Trading halts are anticipated. Friday 5 June 2020 was an easily observable technical gapped blow-off. The final daily fractal growth has its third fractal length near a Fibonacci if the 11-12 days ideal base: 10-13/29/18 days .. The final third 18 day fractal  is composed of two fractal sequences : 2/5/4/3 and 2/4/4 days

Nonlinear gapped 5 June 2020 secondary global equity peak valuation occurred on the 16th day of the 18 day final fractal;  global asset equity and commodity valuation collapse  will follow with unrepayable bad debt revealing the quality of its bankruptcy  …

Why the  Equity and commodity great decline valuation ahead?

The US Debt clock estimates  the debt obligations and liabilities of the US.  The federal debt now stands at 130% of GDP.  The composite corporate, private, and governmental debt liabilities of the Euro and Asian countries are  similar. The debt obligations are both enormous and unrepayable. Only necessary negative interest rates or – Debt Jubilee for all parties – can sustain these debt loads.

A Great  Global Nonlinear fractal transition  is now transpiring; first the final nonlinear  gapped  composite equity valuation blow-off occurring on Friday 5 June 2020, followed by two days of up and  lateral price movement. This final growth valuation growth activity will be followed with a fractal decay of historical nonlinear valuation collapse of equities and commodities. (Within the second 29 day  and third 18 day fractals this is an interpolated fractal series of of 9/21/18 days :: x/2-2.5x/2x)

Individual asset valuations will be revalued in the remaining denominator of the repayable good debt and the collectively re-equilibrated totality of worth of the Global Asset Valuation Integral.

At the base of the economic pyramid are global service workers who obligate themselves with debt to purchase automobiles,  motor bikes, furniture, appliances, cell phones,  and other wage debt-attainable commodities.   Robotics in the next decade will replace millions of  global factory workers. 

While the virus provides an explanation for the global service worker debt-creation collapse, its appearance occurs near the 26 week of the final 11/26/26 week SPX valuation growth fractal series. This will be a source of speculation in the future after the mathematical simple fractal  quantitative reiterations  of saturation asset-debt macroeconomics prove it conclusively  to be a patterned science.

The daily fractal decay series to the March 2020 SPX low was  2/5/4 and 3/8/8 days or 25 days. The second decay fractal series is expected to be 62-63 day with this 25 day decay base.

The final gapped peak valuation  and nonlinear valuation collapse is expected in a single  29 May 2020 fractal transitional  daily growth and  decay series   of 3/8/6  or 3/7/7 days.  

 

The  Case for the  Science of Observational Quantitative Fractal Valuation Growth And Decay Asset-Debt  Saturation Macroeconomics:

From the December 2018 Composite Equity nadir valuation low: x/2-2.5x/2-2.5x/1.6y :: 11/26/26/16 of 18 weeks : on a daily basis nonlinearity can be observed between the 22nd and 23rd week of the second 26 week fractal. (see main page regarding second fractal nonlinearity)

This correlates to 3/7/7/4 of 5 months.  The CRB is following an interpolated final daily fractal series of 8/20(5)/(11)/ 20 of 27 days.

This web site makes  the observation  that the asset debt economic  system is mechanistic and quantitative in its nature following simple growth and decay fractal valuation patterns  so precise that ‘the mathematical laws’ and ‘self assembly’ of asset valuation  growth and decay are similar to physics and chemistry and biology.

 Asset Debt Saturation Macroeconomics likewise has the quality and property of a science.

The simple ever recurring and easily observed quantitative fractal ‘mathematical laws’ determined by the nadir asset valuation are:(y connotes final valuation low for the individual fractal series pattern)

x/2-2.5x/2-2.5y  

x/2-2.5x/2-2.5x/1.4-1.6y

and x/2-2.5x/1.5 to 2.5y 

(the second fractal length of 2-2.5x determines the ideal base first fractal length; the third fractal is a 1.5 multiple of this ideal base.

Qualitatively, the facilitated creation of excessive debt leads to overvaluation, overproduction, and over-ownership of assets. The system is self correcting with liquidation of bad debt and a lower re-equilibrium of asset valuations with a lower total denominator of composite system wealth near the nadir of bad debt liquidation and lower asset composite valuation. 

All individual asset valuations are denominated in first time derivative of the composite of all other valuations.

The fractal mathematical laws  of the composite asset valuations of the asset debt system are elegantly simple. 

While Central Banks’ interventions can cause observational rises of subfractal components, the fractal grouping patterns are still there.

In fact the observational patterns show the direct effect of central bank intervention. 

The US  Hegemonic Asset Debt Macroeconomic  grand Fractal series had an initiating fractal base of about 18 years near the initiation of its constitution in 1790.

The  first fractal started in 1807-8 and ended after the panic of 1837 in 1842-43 for a base fractal of 36 years. Its 90 year second fractal ended with nadir composite equity valuations in  1932.  Its 89 year third fractal is expected to end very shortly (now in 7 trading days  on Thursday 18 June  2020.  A fourth Great US Hegemonic   Fractal is expected to end in 2074. (1.5y) The US 54 year fourth fractal will be supported with necessary debt creation. 

A Look at the 1982 second subfractal series: 9/20/12 year :: x/2-2.5x/1.5y concluding US 1932 third fractal series:

The monthly fractal progression of US composite Equities from the low in 2003 was made of two fractal series: 6/13/15/10 months :: x/2-2.5x/2.5x/1.6y and a decay fractal of x/2-2.5x/1.5y : 9/20/12 months: The ideal base of a second 20 month fractal is 8 months with 1.5 times 8 months yielding a 12 month third fractal.

What was the composite equity and CRB valuation  fractal effect of the global Central Bank intervention  on the 2008-2009 collapse? The 2/5/5/3 month fractal series composing the 12 month  third decay fractal begins a valuation climb in March 2009 at the beginning of  its third 5 month fractal.

Note the  x/2-2.5x/1.5y fractal similarity of the 1982 9/20/12 year fractal series (completing the 89 year US Third Fractal) to the 9/20/12 month fractal series completing the second 20 year subfractal series which started in 1990. 

Sans global  central Bank coordinated intervention, the expected unassisted starting point for the observed March 2009  composite  nadir was at the end of the 2/5/5/3 month natural self assembly fractal series or September 2009

From the expected September 2009 low (unassisted by Central Bank assumption of toxic debt and collaborative interCentral bank money printing and  interbank borrowing),  the two monthly subfractal series –  2/5/4/3 and 3/7/8 months ::  x/2.5x/2x/1.5y and x/2-2.5x/2-2.5y, respectively – make up a 26 month base first fractal sequence of the final 12 year third subfractal.

The final 12 year third fractal sequence of the 1982  9/20/12 year :: x/2-2.5x/1.5y decay fractal series (this second fractal subseries follow a 1932 10-11/21/21-22 53 year  first fractal subseries ) is composed of 26/53/52 of 53 months. (x/2-2.5x/2-2.5y)

The second 53 month subfractal of the 26/53/52 of 53 series is composed of two fractal subseries 3/7/6 months and 8/17/17 months (x/2-2.5x/2.5x both subseries)

The third 52 of 53 month series is composed of 10/26/18 of 19 months.  The integrative final series is 10/25/20 months)

The first 10 month fractal is composed of a 2/4/4/3 month series; the second 26 month fractal is composed of a 5/11/11 month series, and the third 19 month series a 3/7/7/4 of 5 months series.

The patterned asset composite valuation activity of the  Asset Debt macroeconomic system is directly observational and is indisputable. What causes the ideal self assembly of mathematically precise  fractal asset valuation  growth and decay patterns?

What causes the  mathematical laws and derived numerical constants of physics and the naturally occurring  self assembly of subatomic particles, atomic particles, molecules, plant and animal embryological development, stars, solar systems, galaxies and the universe? 

The observational  self assembly highly patterned fractals defining the counterbalancing growth and decay of valuations of composite assets composing the asset debt macroeconomic system  confers upon that macroeconomic  system the Properties of a Science.

2 thoughts on “WHY A SPX OF LESS THAN 1000 BY JUNE 18 2020? BECAUSE AN ACCUMULATED PROPORTIONAL SUN TO EARTH MASS AMOUNT OF UNSUSTAINABLE BAD GLOBAL CORPORATE, PRIVATE, FEDERAL, STATE-EQUIVALENT AND MUNICIPALITY DEBT – WITH OPPOSITIONAL SOCIAL AND GOVERNMENTAL CONTRACT OBLIGATIONS – ARE NOW UNDERGOING A NONLINEAR PHASE TRANSITION OF REVALUATION COLLAPSE – AKIN TO AN AGED STAR WITHOUT SUFFICIENT NUCLEAR FUEL UNDERGOING BLACK HOLE COLLAPSE”

  1. The 1807 to 2073 36/90/89/54 Year :: x/2.5x/2.5x/1.5y US Hegemonic Great Asset Debt Macroeconomic Fractal Cycle ..

    Comparison of the 12 year terminal portion of the 90 Year US Second Great Second Fractal ending in July 1932 and the 89 year Third Fractal ending in June 2020.

    a note to a fellow cycle observer …

    … ‘repetitively reviewing the 1921 to 1932 DJIA composite proxy monthly fractal progression’.

    Imagine shifting the 2009 chart 6-7 months to the left … with ideal low in September 2009 vice March 2009.

    2008-2009 global governmental and global central bank 30 trillion dollar intervention ‘bent’ the natural terminal 2/5/5/3 month decay pattern for the aftermath of the housing bubble.

    Interestingly the final global housing bubble (ending the 1990 to 2009 20 year second subfractal series) monthly growth and decay series and starting 14 June 2006 was a 9/20/12 month fractal series (using the ideal Sept vice March 2009 low) and is fractally self similar to the 1982 9/20/12 year 1932 concluding second subfractal series.

    A September 2009 26/53/53 month final fractal series, a left shift of the 2009 curve by 6-7 months to paralel the 1921 initial low valuation, and a straight drop would closely match the timing of the June 1932 nearly 90 % valuation low. (Hence, the thought of trading halts).

    Concurrent with the natural bad debt dependent collapse is the virus which will provide the public a causal precipitant.

  2. correction …

    The first 10 month fractal is composed of a 2/4/4/3 month series; the second 26 month fractal is composed of a 5/11/11 month series, and the third 19 month series

    … a 3/7/7/5 of 5 months series.

    vice
    …. a 3/7/7/4 of 5 months series.

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