{"id":7389,"date":"2026-10-23T17:36:33","date_gmt":"2026-10-23T17:36:33","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/?p=7389"},"modified":"2026-10-23T17:36:33","modified_gmt":"2026-10-23T17:36:33","slug":"why-have-interest-rates-on-us-sovereign-debt-recently-collapsed-when-oil-prices-and-inflationary-pressures-are-apparently-increasing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/2026\/10\/23\/why-have-interest-rates-on-us-sovereign-debt-recently-collapsed-when-oil-prices-and-inflationary-pressures-are-apparently-increasing\/","title":{"rendered":"Why have interest rates on US sovereign debt recently collapsed when oil prices and inflationary pressures are apparently increasing?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Helplessly Hoping - Cover by Suddenly Years Align (SYA)\" width=\"474\" height=\"267\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/6pmUabQaVvA?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Qualitatively, US Debt was grossly oversold and \u2018the smartest\u2019 money has been buying US debt over the last 12-13 days with the trend line established from TNX peak interest rates (about 5.36% on 7 Oct 2026). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Quantitatively, within the counterbalancing cyclical asset-debt macroeconomic system, US interest rates reached their time-based fractal peak. The US hegemonic asset-debt macroeconomic system reached a SPX equity peak valuation on 6 October 2026 at 7844.52 and is undergoing an initial crash decay which will nadir 8 December 2026 and which will undergo a further decay to the 1300-1430 level in 2027.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"> From the SPX peak valuation on 6 October 2026, exiting money has entered the debt market driving interest rates lower since 7 Oct 2026. The 82-84 % collapse in the SPX peak to nadir will drive interest rates on US sovereign debt much lower. Oil valuations will peak during the SPX 8 December 2026 nadiring,  but will moderate thereafter, through demand destruction (and likely eventual US military departure from theater.)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Qualitatively, US Debt was grossly oversold and \u2018the smartest\u2019 money has been buying US debt over the last 12-13 days with the trend line established from TNX peak interest rates (about 5.36% on 7 Oct 2026). Quantitatively, within the counterbalancing cyclical asset-debt macroeconomic system, US interest rates reached their time-based fractal peak. The US hegemonic &hellip; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/2026\/10\/23\/why-have-interest-rates-on-us-sovereign-debt-recently-collapsed-when-oil-prices-and-inflationary-pressures-are-apparently-increasing\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Why have interest rates on US sovereign debt recently collapsed when oil prices and inflationary pressures are apparently increasing?<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7389","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7389","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7389"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7389\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7397,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7389\/revisions\/7397"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7389"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7389"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7389"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}