{"id":6917,"date":"2026-03-28T15:36:11","date_gmt":"2026-03-28T15:36:11","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/?p=6917"},"modified":"2026-03-29T22:35:08","modified_gmt":"2026-03-29T22:35:08","slug":"the-1929-2026-11-26-27-day-y-2-5y-2-5y-crash-fractal-series-and-its-17-feb-2026-hourly-3-phase-fractal-series-equivalent-the-2026-israeli-trump-interest-rate-anomalous-derivative-accelerant-and-c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/2026\/03\/28\/the-1929-2026-11-26-27-day-y-2-5y-2-5y-crash-fractal-series-and-its-17-feb-2026-hourly-3-phase-fractal-series-equivalent-the-2026-israeli-trump-interest-rate-anomalous-derivative-accelerant-and-c\/","title":{"rendered":"The 1929\/2026 11\/26\/27 Day :: y\/2.5y\/2.5y Crash Fractal Series and its 17 Feb 2026 Hourly 3-Phase Fractal Series Equivalent: the 2026 Israeli-Trump Interest Rate Anomalous  Derivative Accelerant and Conflagration"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Sugarland   Stuck Like Glue Artistic Piano Interpretation\" width=\"474\" height=\"267\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/nmo9itTjY8Y?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Like 1929, The ACWI peak valuation and decay  inflection<br>had as its root causes: overinvestment, terminal cycle  bad and defaulting private credit loans, and asset extreme overvaluation. 1929 occurred near an 1807 36\/90 :: x\/2.5x  1st and 2nd fractal series ending in 1932 and 2026 occurred near the end of an  1982 13\/33 year :: x\/2.5x 1st and 2nd fractal series, interpolated in a larger 1807 US hegemonic 36\/90\/90\/54-57 year ::  x\/2.5x\/2.5x\/1.5-1.6x 4-phase fractal series.<br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Why 2026 is markedly different than 1929.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The derivative markets focused on hedged expected  interest rates bets make 2026 markedly different, with a likely 2026 significantly greater than 1929 initial peak to nadir collapse following 11\/26\/26-27 day :: y\/2.5y\/2.5y 3-phase Lammert fractal crash decay Series<br><br>The 21st century emergence of a 0.8 + quadrillion dollar derivative market, 80% which has hedges primarily  focused on interest rates is an awaiting nonlinear crash conflagration &#8230; as most hedge fund modeling on interest rates and private debt collapse  did not factor in the rising interest rates associated with the Israeli-Trump war via the Hormuz closure and the sharply escalating oil, gas, and by product global prices. The derivative modeling with a collapsing private credit fund market (KKR, Blackrock, Apollo, Blue owl, Blackstone, Morgan Stanley, Ares, Tricolor,  et.al. ) would have predicted falling interest rates with appropriate collateralized derivative bets. The war has caused rising interest rates and the derivative bets are most assuredly upside down.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Fractal groupings (Fractals) are determined by trendlines.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/1st-fractal-11-day-trendline-acwi.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"903\" height=\"1024\" src=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/1st-fractal-11-day-trendline-acwi-903x1024.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6922\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/1st-fractal-11-day-trendline-acwi-903x1024.png 903w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/1st-fractal-11-day-trendline-acwi-264x300.png 264w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/1st-fractal-11-day-trendline-acwi-768x871.png 768w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/1st-fractal-11-day-trendline-acwi.png 946w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 903px) 100vw, 903px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>Observation of the ongoing 17 Feb 2026 11\/26\/27 day :: y\/2.5y\/2.5y crash decay fractal series shows that day 5 and day 10 of the 26 day 2nd Fractal Series ( a 5\/10\/8\/6 day subfractal series) are below the 11 day 1st Fractal trendline. Days 5,10, 8, and 6 of this 26 day subfractal series are expected to be nadirs with a trendline from day 1 to day 26 of the 26 day 2nd Fractal  below all intervening valuations. How negative will this 26 2nd Fractal trendline be with respect to the 11 day 1st Fractal negative trendline?  The poorly bet interest rate derivative markets will add to the 2nd Fractal trendline negativity, with an expected acceleration of the negative slope for the 26-27 day 3rd Fractal as a cascading conflation unfolds.<br><br><strong>ACWI 17 Feb 2026 Hourly Fractals and the Hourly Fractal Series correlating to the 17 Feb 2026 11\/26\/27 day :: y\/2.5y\/2.5y Lammert 3-phase crash fractal decay series:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/1st-2nd-hourly-17-Feb-ACWI.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"604\" src=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/1st-2nd-hourly-17-Feb-ACWI-1024x604.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6923\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/1st-2nd-hourly-17-Feb-ACWI-1024x604.png 1024w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/1st-2nd-hourly-17-Feb-ACWI-300x177.png 300w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/1st-2nd-hourly-17-Feb-ACWI-768x453.png 768w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/1st-2nd-hourly-17-Feb-ACWI-1536x906.png 1536w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/1st-2nd-hourly-17-Feb-ACWI.png 1764w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/71-hour-ACWI-1st-fractal.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"694\" height=\"959\" src=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/71-hour-ACWI-1st-fractal.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6926\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/71-hour-ACWI-1st-fractal.png 694w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/71-hour-ACWI-1st-fractal-217x300.png 217w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 694px) 100vw, 694px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/2nd-fractal.-3-mar-hourly-177.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"580\" src=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/2nd-fractal.-3-mar-hourly-177-1024x580.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6927\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/2nd-fractal.-3-mar-hourly-177-1024x580.png 1024w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/2nd-fractal.-3-mar-hourly-177-300x170.png 300w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/2nd-fractal.-3-mar-hourly-177-768x435.png 768w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/2nd-fractal.-3-mar-hourly-177-1536x870.png 1536w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/2nd-fractal.-3-mar-hourly-177.png 1897w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p><strong>Alternate Hourly Second Fractal Decay Series Model:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/1st-2nd-hourly-17-Feb-ACWI-2.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"604\" src=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/1st-2nd-hourly-17-Feb-ACWI-2-1024x604.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6931\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/1st-2nd-hourly-17-Feb-ACWI-2-1024x604.png 1024w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/1st-2nd-hourly-17-Feb-ACWI-2-300x177.png 300w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/1st-2nd-hourly-17-Feb-ACWI-2-768x453.png 768w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/1st-2nd-hourly-17-Feb-ACWI-2-1536x906.png 1536w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/1st-2nd-hourly-17-Feb-ACWI-2.png 1764w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p><strong>The effect of the 23 Mar 2026  premarket Presidential announcement on delaying the bombing of Iranian infrastructure.<\/strong> Notice the 70 hour 2nd subfractal not meeting the 26-27 day 2nd fractal Trendline.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/23-mar-1st-bombing-pause-announcement.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"756\" src=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/23-mar-1st-bombing-pause-announcement-1024x756.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6932\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/23-mar-1st-bombing-pause-announcement-1024x756.png 1024w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/23-mar-1st-bombing-pause-announcement-300x222.png 300w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/23-mar-1st-bombing-pause-announcement-768x567.png 768w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/23-mar-1st-bombing-pause-announcement.png 1462w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Like 1929, The ACWI peak valuation and decay inflectionhad as its root causes: overinvestment, terminal cycle bad and defaulting private credit loans, and asset extreme overvaluation. 1929 occurred near an 1807 36\/90 :: x\/2.5x 1st and 2nd fractal series ending in 1932 and 2026 occurred near the end of an 1982 13\/33 year :: x\/2.5x &hellip; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/2026\/03\/28\/the-1929-2026-11-26-27-day-y-2-5y-2-5y-crash-fractal-series-and-its-17-feb-2026-hourly-3-phase-fractal-series-equivalent-the-2026-israeli-trump-interest-rate-anomalous-derivative-accelerant-and-c\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">The 1929\/2026 11\/26\/27 Day :: y\/2.5y\/2.5y Crash Fractal Series and its 17 Feb 2026 Hourly 3-Phase Fractal Series Equivalent: the 2026 Israeli-Trump Interest Rate Anomalous  Derivative Accelerant and Conflagration<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6917","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6917","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6917"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6917\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6933,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6917\/revisions\/6933"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6917"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6917"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6917"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}