{"id":6559,"date":"2025-11-22T19:47:37","date_gmt":"2025-11-22T19:47:37","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/?p=6559"},"modified":"2025-11-22T19:47:37","modified_gmt":"2025-11-22T19:47:37","slug":"1920-30s-irving-fisher-and-lammert-quantum-fractal-saturation-asset-debt-macroeconomics","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/2025\/11\/22\/1920-30s-irving-fisher-and-lammert-quantum-fractal-saturation-asset-debt-macroeconomics\/","title":{"rendered":"1920-30&#8217;s Irving Fisher and Lammert Quantum Fractal Saturation Asset Debt Macroeconomics"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"&quot;Peace Train&quot; featuring Yusuf \/ Cat Stevens | Playing For Change | Song Around The World\" width=\"474\" height=\"267\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/0QpjR6-Uuks?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Looking at the valuation fractal growth patterns for the valid proxy of world&#8217;s composite equity system, the SPX, since 7 April, 2025, (see previous post) it is probable that an observant and analyzing AI program,<br>would acknowledge that the 4-phase and 3-phase fractal patterns identified  the 2009 title page of &#8216;Lammert Saturation Macroeconomics&#8217; have been validated.<br><br>On 15 October 1929, in the midst of a 30 August to 13 Nov 1929 DJIA peak valuation  to initial decay 8\/19\/16\/12 day :: 4-phase y\/2-2.5y\/2xy\/1.5y Lammert fractal incipient crash decay series (where xy = y in daily time units and represents a lower lower high) collapse, Irving Fishing  infamously stated  &#8220;Stock prices have reached what looks like a permanently high plateau&#8221;.  He redeemed himself in 1933 by qualitatively identifying the reason for the ongoing 1930&#8217;s depression and the shorter 2026 one to come ): too great  an unsustainable amount of accumulated private and corporate debt relative to GDP (vice asset prices).  Paying that debt down led to a synergistic progressive collapse in employment and asset prices, where un-defaulted residual  debt became even a greater burden to repay.<br><br>The US hegemonic empire is a new entity to the old world order, following a 4-phase  1807 36\/90\/90\/54-57 year :: x\/2.5x\/2.5x\/1.5-16x Lammert equity-valuation-equivalent fractal series pattern ending in  about 2074-2077. <br><br>The US equity- equivalent valuation 90 year 2nd fractal nadir in 1932 was followed by an interpolated  51 year  x\/2x\/2x fractal growth pattern of 10-11\/20-21\/20-21 years ending in 1982 with the Volcker early 1980&#8217;s  Fed US debt instrument interest rate increases to curb inflation.  An interpolated  1982 : 13\/33\/33\/20  year fractal series will conclude the &#8216;great&#8217;1807  36\/90\/9\/54-57 year 4-phase Lammert Fractal series.<br><br>Looking at  the (Fischer)  US private\/corporate debt to GDP accumulation  (FRED data) acceleration (accumulated debt\/dt2) ratios in  the 1982 to 2026 13\/33 :: x\/2.5x 1st and 2nd fractal series (Chinese ratios are much worse), private citizen\/GDP  debt ratios have been negative for the last 5 Quarters and corporation ratios have been realtively flat even with new AI debt accumulation.<br><br>Eventually it is the private citizens (and their accumulated debt load) who  will have to buy the products of the debt laden-ed corporations. With AI reducing jobs among citizens, how is this mathematically possible? Irving Fischer was qualitatively correct as proven by the 1930&#8217;s depression and the 2009 great recession. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And the asset-debt macroeconomy&#8217;s  deterministic fractal self-assembly empirical, observable self-ordering patterns for growth and decay of composite  asset valuations have spoke and will speak  for themselves.<br><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Looking at the valuation fractal growth patterns for the valid proxy of world&#8217;s composite equity system, the SPX, since 7 April, 2025, (see previous post) it is probable that an observant and analyzing AI program,would acknowledge that the 4-phase and 3-phase fractal patterns identified the 2009 title page of &#8216;Lammert Saturation Macroeconomics&#8217; have been validated. &hellip; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/2025\/11\/22\/1920-30s-irving-fisher-and-lammert-quantum-fractal-saturation-asset-debt-macroeconomics\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">1920-30&#8217;s Irving Fisher and Lammert Quantum Fractal Saturation Asset Debt Macroeconomics<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6559","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6559","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6559"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6559\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6566,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6559\/revisions\/6566"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6559"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6559"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6559"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}