{"id":6425,"date":"2025-08-12T15:11:36","date_gmt":"2025-08-12T15:11:36","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/?p=6425"},"modified":"2025-08-12T16:24:32","modified_gmt":"2025-08-12T16:24:32","slug":"the-deterministic-self-ordering-7-april-2025-17-37-37-22-23-day-4-phase-lammert-growth-and-decay-fractal-pathway-to-the-12-aug-2025-global-equity-peak-valuation-and-the-crash-fractal-pathway-to-the","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/2025\/08\/12\/the-deterministic-self-ordering-7-april-2025-17-37-37-22-23-day-4-phase-lammert-growth-and-decay-fractal-pathway-to-the-12-aug-2025-global-equity-peak-valuation-and-the-crash-fractal-pathway-to-the\/","title":{"rendered":"The Deterministic Self-ordering 7 April 2025 17\/37\/37\/22-23 day :: x\/2-2.5x\/2-2.5x\/1.5x&#8217; 4-phase Lammert  Growth and Decay Fractal  series Pathway to the 12 Aug 2025 Global Equity Peak Valuation and the 4th Crash Fractal  to the Initial 10-11 Sept 2025 Crash Nadir Low"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Helplessly Hoping - Crosby, Stills &amp; Nash (Cover)\" width=\"474\" height=\"267\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/Jg5B0pNj7xM?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>On 3 Sept 1929, the DJIA average reached a peak valuation of 381.17. Ninety-six years later (97 by fractal count) on 23 July 2025, the DJIA reached a peak valuation of 45073.63, about 118 times the previous century&#8217;s earlier peak valuation. The average US house in 1929 was about 6000 US dollars and in 2025 about 515000, a comparable 85.5 times fold increase in valuation. <br><br>The DJIA valuation peak in 1929 was near the close of a US 1807 to 1932 :: 36\/90 year first and second fractal series &#8230; and the peak valuation in 2025 near the close of a US 1982 to 2026 13\/33 year first and second fractal interpolated series, part of the greater US 1807 36\/90\/90\/54 year :: x.2.5x\/2.5x\/1.5x 4-phase fractal series with a 90 year third fractal peak in Nov 2021. <\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/new-1790-2077.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"740\" src=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/new-1790-2077-1024x740.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6451\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/new-1790-2077-1024x740.png 1024w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/new-1790-2077-300x217.png 300w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/new-1790-2077-768x555.png 768w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/new-1790-2077.png 1162w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Screen-Shot-2025-08-12-at-9.34.30-AM.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"542\" src=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Screen-Shot-2025-08-12-at-9.34.30-AM-1024x542.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6446\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Screen-Shot-2025-08-12-at-9.34.30-AM-1024x542.png 1024w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Screen-Shot-2025-08-12-at-9.34.30-AM-300x159.png 300w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Screen-Shot-2025-08-12-at-9.34.30-AM-768x406.png 768w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Screen-Shot-2025-08-12-at-9.34.30-AM.png 1478w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>This was  propelled yet higher in valuation in 2024 and 2025 by unprecedented US peacetime deficit to GDP Covid spending of about 15% and 12%, respectively, in 2020 and 2021. <br><br>Global equity peak valuation, represented by ACWI, which includes Nvidia, the latter now the #1 market cap company at 4.46 trillion, about 15% higher than #2 Microsoft, reached an intraday peak valuation (similar to Nvidia&#8217;s ending daily close) on 8 August 2025. The Nikkei reached its blow-off top on 12 Aug 2025 at 42999.71, some 11% higher than its 1989 near 39000 peak occurring some 36 years ago carrying the Global Equity index ACWI likewise to its all time peak valuation on 12 August 2025.<br><br>Going into a population-overdebt-burdened-related, asset-highest-ever-valuation-related, highest-consumer-product-cost(except vehicle fuel), tariff-and-US consumer-paid-for-related &#8230; recession &#8230; Nvidia&#8217;s PE ratio is currently about 59 and Microsoft&#8217;s 38, both perfectly valued on a daily basis, but grossly overvalued in the long term credit cycle basis.<br><br>From the 27 Oct 2023 low the Global Equity ACWI propelled by historical deficit to GDP annual credit\/money expansion followed a 3 phase x\/2.5x\/2.5x maximum valuation growth fractal progression of 55\/139\/136 days followed by a 4 phase 5\/13\/11\/7 day decay fractal series ending 7 April 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Screen-Shot-2025-08-10-at-11.07.31-AM.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"583\" src=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Screen-Shot-2025-08-10-at-11.07.31-AM-1024x583.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6447\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Screen-Shot-2025-08-10-at-11.07.31-AM-1024x583.png 1024w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Screen-Shot-2025-08-10-at-11.07.31-AM-300x171.png 300w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Screen-Shot-2025-08-10-at-11.07.31-AM-768x438.png 768w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Screen-Shot-2025-08-10-at-11.07.31-AM.png 1457w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p><br><br>Since 7 April 2025, ACWI valuation growth has occurred in a 17\/37\/37 day 12 August 2025 peak valuation with a 21-22 day crash decay series ending 10-11 September 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/7-April-to-11-Sept-ACWI.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"870\" src=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/7-April-to-11-Sept-ACWI-1024x870.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6448\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/7-April-to-11-Sept-ACWI-1024x870.png 1024w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/7-April-to-11-Sept-ACWI-300x255.png 300w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/7-April-to-11-Sept-ACWI-768x652.png 768w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/7-April-to-11-Sept-ACWI.png 1208w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p><br><br>The ACWI 12 August peak valuation  to a 10-11 September 2025 initial crash nadir is congruent with a Chinese property crash represented by the Shanghai property index of a April 2025 nadir 4 phase fractal series of 16\/36\/36-37\/22-23 days. The 55 trillion Chinese property bubble is the defining element of the 2025 global equity  crash akin to the US 1929 grossly overvalued US equity market.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On 3 Sept 1929, the DJIA average reached a peak valuation of 381.17. Ninety-six years later (97 by fractal count) on 23 July 2025, the DJIA reached a peak valuation of 45073.63, about 118 times the previous century&#8217;s earlier peak valuation. The average US house in 1929 was about 6000 US dollars and in 2025 &hellip; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/2025\/08\/12\/the-deterministic-self-ordering-7-april-2025-17-37-37-22-23-day-4-phase-lammert-growth-and-decay-fractal-pathway-to-the-12-aug-2025-global-equity-peak-valuation-and-the-crash-fractal-pathway-to-the\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">The Deterministic Self-ordering 7 April 2025 17\/37\/37\/22-23 day :: x\/2-2.5x\/2-2.5x\/1.5x&#8217; 4-phase Lammert  Growth and Decay Fractal  series Pathway to the 12 Aug 2025 Global Equity Peak Valuation and the 4th Crash Fractal  to the Initial 10-11 Sept 2025 Crash Nadir Low<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6425","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6425","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6425"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6425\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6452,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6425\/revisions\/6452"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6425"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6425"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6425"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}