{"id":6417,"date":"2025-08-09T16:22:27","date_gmt":"2025-08-09T16:22:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/?p=6417"},"modified":"2025-08-09T16:55:13","modified_gmt":"2025-08-09T16:55:13","slug":"the-deterministic-self-ordering-fractal-growth-pathway-to-the-11-aug-2025-global-equity-peak-valuation-and-the-crash-fractal-pathway-to-the-initial-10-sept-2025-crash-nadir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/2025\/08\/09\/the-deterministic-self-ordering-fractal-growth-pathway-to-the-11-aug-2025-global-equity-peak-valuation-and-the-crash-fractal-pathway-to-the-initial-10-sept-2025-crash-nadir\/","title":{"rendered":"The Deterministic Self-ordering Fractal Growth Pathway to the 11 Aug 2025 Global Equity Peak Valuation and the Crash Fractal Pathway to the Initial 10 Sept 2025 Crash Nadir Low"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Helplessly Hoping - Cover by Suddenly Years Align (SYA)\" width=\"474\" height=\"267\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/6pmUabQaVvA?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>On 3 Sept 1929, the DJIA average reached a peak valuation of 381.17. Ninety-six years later (97 by fractal count) on 23 July 2025, the DJIA reached a peak valuation of 45073.63, about 118 times the previous century&#8217;s earlier peak valuation. The average US house in 1929 was about 6000 US dollars and in 2025 about 515000, a comparable 85.5 times fold increase in valuation. <br><br>The DJIA valuation peak in 1929 was near the close of a US 1807 to 1932 :: 36\/90 year first and second fractal series &#8230; and the peak valuation in 2025 near the close of a US 1982 to 2026 13\/33 year first and second fractal interpolated series, part of the greater US 1807 36\/90\/90\/54 year :: x.2.5x\/2.5x\/1.5x 4-phase fractal series with a 90 year third fractal peak in Nov 2021, propelled yet higher in valuation in 2024 and 2025 by unprecedented US peacetime deficit to GDP Covid spending of about 15% and 12%, respectively, in 2020 and 2021. <br><br>Global equity peak valuation, represented by ACWI, which includes Nvidia, the latter now the #1 market cap company at 4.46 trillion, about 15% higher than #2 Microsoft, reached an intraday peak valuation (similar to Nvidia&#8217;s ending daily close) on 8 August 2025 with an expected final minutely and hourly gapped peak blow-off valuation on 11 August 2025 for both ACWI and Nvidia.<br><br>Going into a population-overdebt-burdened-related, asset-highest-ever-valuation-related, highest-consumer-product-cost(except vehicle fuel), tariff-and-US consumer-paid-for-related &#8230; recession &#8230; Nvidia&#8217;s PE ratio is currently about 59 and Microsoft&#8217;s 38, both perfectly valued on a daily basis, but grossly overvalued in the long term credit cycle basis.<br><br>From the 27 Oct 2023 low the Global Equity ACWI propelled by historical deficit to GDP annual credit\/money expansion followed a 3 phase x\/2.5x\/2.5x maximum valuation growth fractal progression of 55\/139\/136 days followed by a 4 phase 5\/13\/11\/7 day decay fractal series ending 7 April 2025.<br><br>Since 7 April 2025, valuation growth has occurred in two 3-phase fractal series: a 10\/25\/20 day :: x\/2.5x\/2x series ending 23 June 2025. And from this 23 June relative nadir a 7\/15\/14 of 15 day 3-phase growth fractal series has taken the ACWI to a double top peak valuation on 8 August 2025. The 2nd 15 day 2nd fractal subseries is a curvilinear blow-off of 4\/8\/5 days :: x\/2x\/1.5x&#8217;. The final 14 of 15 day 3rd fractal subseries was self-assembled into a 3\/7\/6 of 7 day fractal subseries with a characteristic nonlinear lower low gap between day 6 and 7 of the 7 day 2nd subfractal and starting 1 Aug 2025 a self-ordered 6 day growth series to 8 August ensued. A final 7 day 3rd subfractal blow-off peak valuation on 11 August 2025 will result in a 23 June 2025 to 11 August 7\/15\/15 day :: x\/2-2.5x\/2-2.5x 3-phase growth final blow-off fractal series.<br><br>From Friday 1 August 2025 ACWI has self-ordered into a 6\/15\/15 hour 3 phase growth series and is followed by a self-assembly 3\/7\/1 of 5-7 hour blow-off series. A gap higher at the opening on 11 August 2025 with a possible close near the low of the day would confirm this final self-assembly peak series.<br><br>From the 11 August peak a 4\/8\/8\/5 day 4-phase fractal decay series would take the ACWI to a 10 September 2025 initial crash nadir congruent with a Chinese property crash represented by the Shanghai property index of a April 2025 nadir 4 phase fractal series of 16\/36\/36-37\/22-23 days.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fractal Charts to follow &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On 3 Sept 1929, the DJIA average reached a peak valuation of 381.17. Ninety-six years later (97 by fractal count) on 23 July 2025, the DJIA reached a peak valuation of 45073.63, about 118 times the previous century&#8217;s earlier peak valuation. The average US house in 1929 was about 6000 US dollars and in 2025 &hellip; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/2025\/08\/09\/the-deterministic-self-ordering-fractal-growth-pathway-to-the-11-aug-2025-global-equity-peak-valuation-and-the-crash-fractal-pathway-to-the-initial-10-sept-2025-crash-nadir\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">The Deterministic Self-ordering Fractal Growth Pathway to the 11 Aug 2025 Global Equity Peak Valuation and the Crash Fractal Pathway to the Initial 10 Sept 2025 Crash Nadir Low<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6417","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6417","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6417"}],"version-history":[{"count":15,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6417\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6440,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6417\/revisions\/6440"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6417"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6417"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6417"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}