{"id":6087,"date":"2025-02-02T22:53:43","date_gmt":"2025-02-02T22:53:43","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/?p=6087"},"modified":"2025-02-02T22:53:43","modified_gmt":"2025-02-02T22:53:43","slug":"hard-landing-ahead-the-5-august-2024-final-fractal-growth-24-53-49-of-49-52-days-x-2-2-5x-2-2-5x","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/2025\/02\/02\/hard-landing-ahead-the-5-august-2024-final-fractal-growth-24-53-49-of-49-52-days-x-2-2-5x-2-2-5x\/","title":{"rendered":"Hard Landing Ahead: The 5 August 2024 Final Fractal Growth: 24\/53\/49 of 49-52 days :: x\/2-2.5x\/2-2.5x"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-4-3 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Paul Simon and Willie Nelson - Homeward Bound\" width=\"474\" height=\"356\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/TqAJTCk6yHc?start=33&#038;feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The 2025 Smoot-Hawley 2.0 new tariffs and announced counter tariffs are coming at the precise time of maximum fractal global peak or secondary peak equity valuation with 24 months of declining manufacturing data and re-inversion of long term debt minus short term debt yields after 2 years of steep inversion, greater than 1929.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Screen-Shot-2025-02-02-at-3.05.28-PM.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"785\" src=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Screen-Shot-2025-02-02-at-3.05.28-PM-1024x785.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6090\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Screen-Shot-2025-02-02-at-3.05.28-PM-1024x785.png 1024w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Screen-Shot-2025-02-02-at-3.05.28-PM-300x230.png 300w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Screen-Shot-2025-02-02-at-3.05.28-PM-768x589.png 768w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Screen-Shot-2025-02-02-at-3.05.28-PM.png 1259w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Screen-Shot-2025-02-02-at-4.39.22-PM.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"784\" src=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Screen-Shot-2025-02-02-at-4.39.22-PM-1024x784.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6091\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Screen-Shot-2025-02-02-at-4.39.22-PM-1024x784.png 1024w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Screen-Shot-2025-02-02-at-4.39.22-PM-300x230.png 300w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Screen-Shot-2025-02-02-at-4.39.22-PM-768x588.png 768w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Screen-Shot-2025-02-02-at-4.39.22-PM.png 1168w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/quert.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"553\" src=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/quert-1024x553.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6092\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/quert-1024x553.png 1024w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/quert-300x162.png 300w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/quert-768x415.png 768w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/quert-1536x830.png 1536w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/quert.png 1851w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>Smoot-Hawley 2.0 is the last ditch populist response to the 1992 Perot &#8216;Giant Sucking Sound&#8217; of American manufacturing jobs going south, west and north. The nationalistic Chinese government has consistently  fostered growth of manufacturing jobs for  Chinese workers in contrast to the US government who has supported election-donor US corporations (and individuals), the latter primarily interested in profit alone. Both US entities were not focused in a national strategy to  maintain and grow America&#8217;s manufacturing might. The US government has deficit spent at an annual average  rate of greater than 5-7% of GDP to maintain a 2.5% GDP growth, while  the US central bank printed dollars and sold debt  to accommodate the US&#8217;s growing trade deficits and an enlarging US service-based economy. The container-ship  imports were  primarily purchased by two American family workers vice one worker.  <br><br>With the debt load of US younger workers  and the cost of housing with current interest rates, the  average age of US home buyers is now 56.<br><br>After 30 years of establishing international supply chains and a linked global macroeconomy, the decoupling  effect of US tariffs and the counter tariffs will result in a much greater global effect than the early 1930&#8217;s.<br><br>With the ongoing Chinese housing bubble still undergoing collapse and a probable further decline in Chinese domestic consumption, a very hard landing global recession is coming.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The 2025 Smoot-Hawley 2.0 new tariffs and announced counter tariffs are coming at the precise time of maximum fractal global peak or secondary peak equity valuation with 24 months of declining manufacturing data and re-inversion of long term debt minus short term debt yields after 2 years of steep inversion, greater than 1929. Smoot-Hawley 2.0 &hellip; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/2025\/02\/02\/hard-landing-ahead-the-5-august-2024-final-fractal-growth-24-53-49-of-49-52-days-x-2-2-5x-2-2-5x\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hard Landing Ahead: The 5 August 2024 Final Fractal Growth: 24\/53\/49 of 49-52 days :: x\/2-2.5x\/2-2.5x<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6087","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6087","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6087"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6087\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6093,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6087\/revisions\/6093"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6087"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6087"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6087"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}