{"id":5994,"date":"2024-11-17T06:17:05","date_gmt":"2024-11-17T06:17:05","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/?p=5994"},"modified":"2024-11-17T06:18:48","modified_gmt":"2024-11-17T06:18:48","slug":"the-31-october-to-3-december-2024-great-global-equity-commodity-and-crypto-crash-and-the-1982-1807-13-yr-36yr-0-36-first-fractal-proportionality-ratio","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/2024\/11\/17\/the-31-october-to-3-december-2024-great-global-equity-commodity-and-crypto-crash-and-the-1982-1807-13-yr-36yr-0-36-first-fractal-proportionality-ratio\/","title":{"rendered":"The 31 October to 3 December 2024 Great Global Equity, Commodity, and Crypto Crash and the 1982\/1807 ::  13 yr\/36yr = 0.36 First Fractal Proportionality Ratio"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Ana Vidovic plays from the Cello Suite No. 1 Prelude in G Major BWV 1007 - BACH\" width=\"474\" height=\"267\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/zBdK-ailioA?start=11&#038;feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The asset-debt macroeconomic system&#8217;s global composite equity valuation, represented by the 100 + trillion dollar equivalent ETF ACWI, reached &#8211; ( and influenced by 2020-2021 US central bank QE and enhanced\/ rocket fuel-propelled 5 year 8-9% average annual deficit to GDP ratio governmental fiscal spending) &#8211; peaked on 7 November 2024 with the observable rare technical exclamation point of a daily gapped higher high valuation over the 6 November 2024 valuation and ending near the high of the day.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><br><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/peak.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"639\" height=\"418\" src=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/peak.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-5970\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/peak.png 639w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/peak-300x196.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 639px) 100vw, 639px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p><br><br>The previous posting reviewed the two self-assembly simple fractal mathematical laws of the asset-debt macroeconomic system providing the characteristics of a patterned science.<br><br>7 November 2024 was analogous to 3 Sept 1929 which was part of a 27 day second fractal  of a 9 Aug to 13 Nov 1929 13\/27\/60 day :: x\/2-2.5x\/2-2.5x 3-phase decay fractal series. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><br><br><br><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/1929.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"347\" height=\"432\" src=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/1929.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-5984\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/1929.png 347w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/1929-241x300.png 241w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 347px) 100vw, 347px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>In the previous two postings, prior proposed models for the 31 October 2024 decay series have been a 5\/10\/10 day and a 5\/10\/11 day 3-phase fractal decay series  ending on 1 December and 2 December respectively. <br><br>However, a perfect 0.36 proportionality fit would be a 31 October 5\/10\/11.5  day 3-phase fractal decay series ending 3 December 2024 with a crash low on 3 December and a possible reversal from the low the same day, starting the next growth fractal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><br><br><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/acwi-5-Aug-to-3-Dec.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"997\" height=\"836\" src=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/acwi-5-Aug-to-3-Dec.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-5997\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/acwi-5-Aug-to-3-Dec.png 997w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/acwi-5-Aug-to-3-Dec-300x252.png 300w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/acwi-5-Aug-to-3-Dec-768x644.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 997px) 100vw, 997px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>Review of the Origin of the 0.36 Ratio<br><br>The US Hegemonic asset debt system is (appear to be) undergoing an 1807 x\/2.5x\/2.5x\/1.5x :: 36\/90\/90\/54 year deterministic growth and decay 4 phase fractal series. The 36 year first fractal ended in 1842-32. The 90 year second fractal ended in 1932 (8 July 1932). The 90 year third fractal peak occurred on 8 Nov 2021 and was composed of a 1932 10-11\/21-22\/21-22 year :: x\/2x\/2x fractal growth series ending in 1982 and a subsequent interpolated 13\/32\/32-33\/19-20 year :: x\/2.5x\/2.5x\/1.5x 4 phase fractal series  expected to end in about 2074.<br><br>The 0.36 ratio is determined by length of the 13 year 1982 to 1994 first fractal of the 1982 to 2025  13\/32 year first and second series divided by the 36 year length of the 1807 to 1842-43 first fractal of the 1807 36\/90 year first and second fractal series ending in 1932.<br><br>The DJIA valuation peak for 90 year 1842-43 second fractal occurred on 3 Sept 1929.  The was the 87th year of the  90 year second fractal representing a time length ratio of 87\/90 or 0.9666. The expected year peak for a 32 year second fractal (1994 to 2025) would be 32 times .9666 or 30.9 years consistent with the 7 November 2024 high.<br><br>The 9 Aug to 13 Nov 1929 incipient 3 phase decay series was a 13\/27\/30 day :: x\/2-2.5x\/2-2.5x 3 phase fractal decay series containing the 3 Sept 1929  high in the 27 day second fractal. This was 68 days in length. 0.36 x 68 days is equivalent to 24.5  days which would be consistent with a 31 October 2024 5\/10\/12 day 3-phase decay series  ending 3 December with a possible growth reversal on 3 December after the nadir of the day and  where the second 10 day fractal contained the 7 November 2024 all-time higher high gapped peak.<br><br>The observed  3 Sept 1929 to 8 July 1932 peak to nadir  35 month time length times 0.36 yields a value of 12.6 months which would place a nadir in October-November 2025.<br><br>All global equities, commodities, and crypto valuations will crash in the 31 October to 3 December 2024 5\/10\/12 day fractal decay series. Bad debt is denominated in currency and noncurrency overvalued assets will undergo  liquidation to begin to re-balance that bad debt. Sovereign debt valuation will increase as money flows from these assets into sovereign debt and lowers interest rates.<br><br>The fractal growth and decay of the recently reviewed  Shanghai property index, which a the proxy for the 50-60 trillion dollar equivalent,  grossly overproduced, overvalued, and citizen over-owned wealth receptacle is shown below. The coming  deflationary scenario for the Chinese asset-debt economy is likely the worse for all advanced economies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><br><br><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/shang-prop-new.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"937\" height=\"801\" src=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/shang-prop-new.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-5998\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/shang-prop-new.png 937w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/shang-prop-new-300x256.png 300w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/shang-prop-new-768x657.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 937px) 100vw, 937px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>Gold and Gold mining stock fractal series are shown below with expected nadirs on 3 December.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><br><br><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/gold-9-oct-to-3-dec.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"856\" height=\"786\" src=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/gold-9-oct-to-3-dec.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-5999\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/gold-9-oct-to-3-dec.png 856w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/gold-9-oct-to-3-dec-300x275.png 300w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/gold-9-oct-to-3-dec-768x705.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 856px) 100vw, 856px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/NEM.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"853\" height=\"851\" src=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/NEM.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6000\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/NEM.png 853w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/NEM-300x300.png 300w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/NEM-150x150.png 150w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/NEM-768x766.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 853px) 100vw, 853px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>Finally a 25 October 2024 6\/10 of 12\/12 day 3 phase decay fractal series ending 3 December 2024 is shown below for the NIKKEI.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><br><br>Crypto-currencies will likely follow a 4 November 2024 4\/7 of 9\/7\/6 day 4 phase fractal series ending 3 December, where the final crash will occur in the final 6 day 4th fractal.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/nikkei-new.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"760\" src=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/nikkei-new-1024x760.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6001\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/nikkei-new-1024x760.png 1024w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/nikkei-new-300x223.png 300w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/nikkei-new-768x570.png 768w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/nikkei-new.png 1054w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>Crypto-currencies will likely follow a 4 November 2024 4\/7 of 9\/7\/6 day :: x\/2-2.5x\/2x&#8217;\/ 1.5x 4-phase fractal series ending 3 December, where the final crash will likely occur in the final 6 day 4th fractal.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The asset-debt macroeconomic system&#8217;s global composite equity valuation, represented by the 100 + trillion dollar equivalent ETF ACWI, reached &#8211; ( and influenced by 2020-2021 US central bank QE and enhanced\/ rocket fuel-propelled 5 year 8-9% average annual deficit to GDP ratio governmental fiscal spending) &#8211; peaked on 7 November 2024 with the observable rare &hellip; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/2024\/11\/17\/the-31-october-to-3-december-2024-great-global-equity-commodity-and-crypto-crash-and-the-1982-1807-13-yr-36yr-0-36-first-fractal-proportionality-ratio\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">The 31 October to 3 December 2024 Great Global Equity, Commodity, and Crypto Crash and the 1982\/1807 ::  13 yr\/36yr = 0.36 First Fractal Proportionality Ratio<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5994","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5994","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5994"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5994\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6003,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5994\/revisions\/6003"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5994"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5994"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5994"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}