{"id":5460,"date":"2023-09-20T16:03:32","date_gmt":"2023-09-20T16:03:32","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/?p=5460"},"modified":"2023-09-20T22:58:10","modified_gmt":"2023-09-20T22:58:10","slug":"bitcoin-and-ten-year-note-fractal-series-in-the-asset-debt-qe-qt-21st-century-macroeconomic-system","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/2023\/09\/20\/bitcoin-and-ten-year-note-fractal-series-in-the-asset-debt-qe-qt-21st-century-macroeconomic-system\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin and Ten Year Note Monthly Fractal Series in the Asset Debt QE\/QT 21st Century Macroeconomic System."},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Monthly September 2014 Bitcoin Fractal Series and Recent 9 March 2020  Monthly Ten Year Note Fractal series  in the Asset Debt QE\/QT 21st Century Macroeconomic System and in the Longer  US Hegemony 19th century 1807 36\/90\/90\/54 Year 4 Phase Lammert Fractal Series.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I. Current Monthly Model for  the Wilshire March 2020 low fractal series: 8\/20\/16\/12 months :: x\/2.5x\/2x\/1.5x.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>II. For System Simple Fractal laws, see 31 August 2023 section on <strong>A Primer on Fractal Series<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Wilshire 13 August 2023 52\/130\/130 day fractal series mathematical  model still holds with an 18 August 2023 6\/15\/4 of 15 day low on 5 October 2023 and further low near the end of November 2023 completing the 130 day subfractal 2.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ten Year Note interest rates likely reached a peak yesterday rising from 0.4 % on 9 March 2020 to 4.62 % on 19 Sept 2023, a relative increase of 1150 %. From the 9 March 2020 low the ten year note followed a 7\/16\/17 month fractal growth series followed by a 5\/11\/10 week fractal growth series of 21\/52\/44 days.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Money exiting from stocks will drive interest rates lower.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bitcoin in USD, traded 7 days a week, is following a 17 August 5\/11\/11 day fractal series followed by a 10 September 5\/5 of 11\/11 day series ending on 5 October.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The long term Bitcoin in USD monthly fractal series starting in Sept 2014 began as a complex initiating fractal series of (2)\/4\/8\/6 months ending in January 2016. Why initiating? The trading market was just beginning with the Jan 2016 low valuation was below the initial Sept 2014 low. The last 6 months of this complex 17 month series served as an initiating base fractal (6 months) for a 15 month subfractal 1 of  a 15\/37\/33 month series ending in November 2022. A 22 month lower low would complete a 15\/37\/33\/22 month 4 phase fractal series.<br>For the 22 months a November 2022 3\/6\/4 of 6 month series ending in November 2023 could be followed by a 2\/5\/5 month series ending in August 2024 to complete a self-assembled  four phase Jan 2016 15\/37\/33\/22 month :: x\/2.5x\/2-2.5x\/1.5x  fractal series.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/M-1-from-1960.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"835\" src=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/M-1-from-1960-1024x835.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-5463\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/M-1-from-1960-1024x835.png 1024w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/M-1-from-1960-300x245.png 300w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/M-1-from-1960-768x626.png 768w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/M-1-from-1960.png 1031w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/YOY-increase-in-money-supply.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"692\" height=\"439\" src=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/YOY-increase-in-money-supply.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-5461\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/YOY-increase-in-money-supply.png 692w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/YOY-increase-in-money-supply-300x190.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 692px) 100vw, 692px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>With residential and equity assets inflated and with easy loose money lending created by a 380%-460%  one year M1 money supply increase from Feb 2020 to April 2021, a very hard deleveraging landing is expected with the completion of an composite equity 12\/1981 to 8\/2024 13\/32 year :: x\/2-2.5x  subfractal 1 and subfractal 2 fractal series and an expected 32 year subfractal 2 trend line low valuation of 750 to 800 value on the SPX.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/1981-to-1982.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"762\" height=\"586\" src=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/1981-to-1982.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-5462\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/1981-to-1982.png 762w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/1981-to-1982-300x231.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 762px) 100vw, 762px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/spx-757-expected-low.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"762\" height=\"586\" src=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/spx-757-expected-low.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-5464\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/spx-757-expected-low.png 762w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/spx-757-expected-low-300x231.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 762px) 100vw, 762px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Monthly September 2014 Bitcoin Fractal Series and Recent 9 March 2020 Monthly Ten Year Note Fractal series in the Asset Debt QE\/QT 21st Century Macroeconomic System and in the Longer US Hegemony 19th century 1807 36\/90\/90\/54 Year 4 Phase Lammert Fractal Series. I. Current Monthly Model for the Wilshire March 2020 low fractal series: 8\/20\/16\/12 &hellip; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/2023\/09\/20\/bitcoin-and-ten-year-note-fractal-series-in-the-asset-debt-qe-qt-21st-century-macroeconomic-system\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Bitcoin and Ten Year Note Monthly Fractal Series in the Asset Debt QE\/QT 21st Century Macroeconomic System.<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5460","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5460","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5460"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5460\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5473,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5460\/revisions\/5473"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5460"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5460"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5460"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}