{"id":5285,"date":"2023-02-01T17:56:56","date_gmt":"2023-02-01T17:56:56","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/?p=5285"},"modified":"2023-02-01T17:56:56","modified_gmt":"2023-02-01T17:56:56","slug":"a-riveting-disrupting-global-nonlinear-hard-landing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/2023\/02\/01\/a-riveting-disrupting-global-nonlinear-hard-landing\/","title":{"rendered":"A Riveting Disrupting Global Nonlinear Hard Landing"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong><em>The US 1807 36\/90\/90\/54 year asset debt valuation cycle.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cycles \u00a0of debt expansion occur causing increases in asset valuations until bad debt cannot be sustained, then \u00a0bad debt  liquidation and asset valuation declination  synergistically feed on each other.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>1932 ended the US  Second Fractal 90 year debt expansion and collapse cycle and November 2021 ended its Third Fractal apogee  90 year finale debt expansion and asset peak valuation cycle. \u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A 1932 &nbsp;first subfractal 10-11\/21\/21 year debt expansion cycle ended in 1982 with &nbsp;Volcker&#8217;s interest rate hike solution to contain consumer &nbsp;price inflation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The initial cycle of the 1982 Second Subfractal, secondary to the 1932 to 1982 51 year First Subfractal  cycle, was composed of a 13 year 3\/7\/5 year cycle ending in 1994. \u00a0The second subcycle to this 13 year base is compose of a series of sub fractals: a 1994 16 year 3\/7\/8 year cycle ending in 2009 and thereafter 2 subseries; 2\/4\/5 years and 2\/4\/4 years. Each cycle unit has ended with an underlying trend line containing all of the preceding valuation lows as bad debt was liquidated.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If the asset debt system maintains its previous\u00a0consistency, \u00a0a valuation nonlinear low for the SPX will be about 1000, a 75 % nonlinear decrease from the current valuation. \u00a0From 2009 the two cycles are each  roughly 17\/35\/35 \u00a0months.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Expect a riveting hard landing for asset owners as asset valuations fall to long term trend lines.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The US 1807 36\/90\/90\/54 year asset debt valuation cycle. Cycles \u00a0of debt expansion occur causing increases in asset valuations until bad debt cannot be sustained, then \u00a0bad debt liquidation and asset valuation declination synergistically feed on each other.\u00a0 1932 ended the US Second Fractal 90 year debt expansion and collapse cycle and November 2021 ended &hellip; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/2023\/02\/01\/a-riveting-disrupting-global-nonlinear-hard-landing\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">A Riveting Disrupting Global Nonlinear Hard Landing<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5285","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5285","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5285"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5285\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5286,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5285\/revisions\/5286"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5285"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5285"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5285"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}