{"id":5281,"date":"2023-01-25T20:13:49","date_gmt":"2023-01-25T20:13:49","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/?p=5281"},"modified":"2023-01-25T20:13:49","modified_gmt":"2023-01-25T20:13:49","slug":"occams-razor-simple-mathematical-equations-represent-the-cosmological-universe-do-simple-fractal-equations-represent-the-asset-debt-macroeconomic-universe-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/2023\/01\/25\/occams-razor-simple-mathematical-equations-represent-the-cosmological-universe-do-simple-fractal-equations-represent-the-asset-debt-macroeconomic-universe-2\/","title":{"rendered":"<a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/2023\/01\/25\/occams-razor-simple-mathematical-equations-represent-the-cosmological-universe-do-simple-fractal-equations-represent-the-asset-debt-macroeconomic-universe\/\">OCCAM\u2019S RAZOR: SIMPLE MATHEMATICAL EQUATIONS REPRESENT THE COSMOLOGICAL UNIVERSE; DO SIMPLE FRACTAL EQUATIONS REPRESENT THE ASSET-DEBT MACROECONOMIC UNIVERSE?<\/a>"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Yunchan Lim \uc784\uc724\ucc2c \u2013 RACHMANINOV Piano Concerto No. 3 in D Minor, op. 30 \u2013 2022 Cliburn Competition\" width=\"474\" height=\"267\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/DPJL488cfRw?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The idea construct for the theory of saturation macroeconomics is occam\u2019s razor simplistic, money under the given central bank expanding and contracting&nbsp;money supply conditions both &nbsp;via fractional reserve banking and since 2009 &nbsp;QE\/QT expansion\/constraints \u2026 flows to the maximum extent &nbsp;into the most advantaged and leveraged asset classes, that is, the equity and property markets. The progression to &nbsp;the maximal extent and peak valuation and subsequent nonlinear terminal nadir values is fractally time &nbsp;based &nbsp;and in accordance with two eloquently simple 3 and 4 phase time based sequences :: x\/2-2.5x\/2-2.5x\/1.5x and x\/2-2.5x\/1.5x-2.5x.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For the US hegemony the overall long term sequence is a 4 phase x\/2.5x\/2.5x\/1.5x fractal pattern starting in 1807 and consisting of 36\/90\/90\/54 years with a first fractal equity valuation low in 1842\/43, a second fractal low in 1932, &nbsp;a third fractal 90 year &nbsp;high in November 2021, with an expected fourth fractal low in 2074.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>From the property bubble low in March 2009, US equities&nbsp;have followed a 5\/13\/10\/7 month pattern (x\/2.5x\/2x\/1.5x); followed by a 3\/7\/6 month pattern (x\/2-2.5x\/2x); followed by a 8\/17\/17 month&nbsp;pattern (x\/2x\/2x), followed by a 10\/26\/16 month pattern( x\/2.5x\/1.5x) and finally a 8\/18\/11 of 12 month pattern (x\/2.5x\/1.5x), the the latest fractal sequence starting with both unprecedented&nbsp;money expansion and thereafter money contraction in response&nbsp;to, respectively, the Covid pandemic and resulting consumer commodity and price inflation secondary&nbsp;to &nbsp;extraordinary money expansion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The daily market valuations represent&nbsp;the real status&nbsp;of saturation investment under the changing central bank lending parameters. Does the real market valuation progression data fit an occam razor\u2019s theoretical mathematical fractal constructs?&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>From the 22 November 2021 secondary Wilshire peak and Nasdaq key reversal valuation day peak 43 days (7\/14\/14\/11)\/ 101 days\/102 days\/ 52 of 62-63 days (x\/2-2.5x\/2-2.5x\/1.5x).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Expect&nbsp;nonlinear lower low valuation declines over the next ten trading days<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The idea construct for the theory of saturation macroeconomics is occam\u2019s razor simplistic, money under the given central bank expanding and contracting&nbsp;money supply conditions both &nbsp;via fractional reserve banking and since 2009 &nbsp;QE\/QT expansion\/constraints \u2026 flows to the maximum extent &nbsp;into the most advantaged and leveraged asset classes, that is, the equity and property markets. &hellip; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/2023\/01\/25\/occams-razor-simple-mathematical-equations-represent-the-cosmological-universe-do-simple-fractal-equations-represent-the-asset-debt-macroeconomic-universe-2\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/2023\/01\/25\/occams-razor-simple-mathematical-equations-represent-the-cosmological-universe-do-simple-fractal-equations-represent-the-asset-debt-macroeconomic-universe\/\">OCCAM\u2019S RAZOR: SIMPLE MATHEMATICAL EQUATIONS REPRESENT THE COSMOLOGICAL UNIVERSE; DO SIMPLE FRACTAL EQUATIONS REPRESENT THE ASSET-DEBT MACROECONOMIC UNIVERSE?<\/a><\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5281","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5281","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5281"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5281\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5282,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5281\/revisions\/5282"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5281"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5281"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5281"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}