{"id":5214,"date":"2022-10-11T20:33:18","date_gmt":"2022-10-11T20:33:18","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/?p=5214"},"modified":"2022-10-11T20:33:18","modified_gmt":"2022-10-11T20:33:18","slug":"quantitative-saturation-macroeconomics-how-the-asset-debt-macroeconomic-system-works","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/2022\/10\/11\/quantitative-saturation-macroeconomics-how-the-asset-debt-macroeconomic-system-works\/","title":{"rendered":"Quantitative Saturation Macroeconomics: How the Asset-Debt Macroeconomic System Works"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Barcarolle, J.Offenbach, ATTIKA &quot;Musica Poetica&quot; official version\" width=\"474\" height=\"267\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/zBFvHDdh7oo?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Both the Wilshire and Bitcoin in USD reached a daily average high valuation on 8 November 2021. These high valuations occurred <strong>in the 90th year of a US 1807 36\/90\/90\/54 year fractal series with valuations lows in 1842-43, 1932, and an expected low in 2074. 8 Nov 2021<\/strong> is contained in an interpolated March 2020 8\/16\/11 month fractal series. (Monthly composite equity valuation fractal series since the March 2009 low have been respectively and sequentially: 5\/12\/10\/7; 3\/8\/6; 8\/17\/16; 11\/26\/16; and currently 8\/16\/10 of 11-16.) <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The central bank expands and contracts debt\/money to sustain the asset-debt macroeonomic system with the bank\u2019s defined antipodal boundary conditions of 1. unacceptable unemployment vice 2. unacceptable consumer inflation<\/strong>. The asset-debt macroeconomic system integrates\u00a0 the central bank\u2019s manipulation of credit\/money expansion\/contraction and then self-orders and self-assembles asset valuations into the most efficient time-based mathematical trading saturation growth-to-peak valuation fractals, and trading saturation decay-to-nadir valuation fractals. Within major valuation growth trends there is periodic countertrend decay\u00a0 and vice-versa. These time-based saturation trading valuation fractals are seen on minutely, hourly, daily, weekly, monthly, and yearly unit scales. <strong>The system has only two simple self-assembly self-ordered patterns: xy\/2-2.5xy\/2-2.5xy\/1.5xy and xy\/2-2.5xy\/1.5-2.5xy.<\/strong>\u00a0 Here xy is used for both possible growth (higher valuation)and possible decay(lower valuation. (The 1807 35\/90\/90\/54 year pattern conforms to the first fractal. pattern as does the initial March <a href=\"tel:2009%205\/12\/10\">2009 5\/12\/10<\/a>\/7 month fractal pattern).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The current operative weekly model for this efficient simple self-assembly self-ordering mathematical process dating from 24 January 2022, the start of the final 11 month decay (8\/16\/11) is consistent with a  7\/15\/14\/10 week (xy\/2-2.5xy\/2xy\/1.5xy) pattern. (using the weekly DJIA or Russel 2000 composite,  a nonlinear valuation drop is seen between the 14th and 15th week of the 15 week second subfractal of the 7\/15\/14\/10 week series; this nonlinearity characterizes the terminal 2xy-2.5xy portion of second fractals -see 2005 main page of website).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p> The final 10 weeks appears to be composed\u00a0 of a 2\/4\/4\/3 week :: xy\/2xy\/2xy\/1.5xy series. Friday 14 October 2022 would be a low in this simple mathematical fractal model followed by valuation growth to about 8 November 2022 followed by a 3 week significant  valuation drop. (The corresponding daily fractal series from 6 September 2022 appears to be 9\/21\/18\/12-13 days.) Grayscale Bitcoin, a proxy for bitcoin in USD  is following an interpolated 17 June 2022 17\/34\/31 of 34 day decay series :: xy\/2xy\/2xy series (ending 14 October 2022). The historical mismatch of the current 7+% 30 year mortgage rates (22 year highs) and highly inflated residential prices (50 % over two years -2019 to 2021- for existing homes 251K to 377K )has collapsed the pool of potential able buyers. A severe economic contraction is qualitatively predictable. The 8\/16\/11 money decay fractal series (xy\/2xy\/1.5xy) is likely to be extended to a 8\/16\/16 month fractal series (xy\/2xy\/2xy).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Both the Wilshire and Bitcoin in USD reached a daily average high valuation on 8 November 2021. These high valuations occurred in the 90th year of a US 1807 36\/90\/90\/54 year fractal series with valuations lows in 1842-43, 1932, and an expected low in 2074. 8 Nov 2021 is contained in an interpolated March 2020 &hellip; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/2022\/10\/11\/quantitative-saturation-macroeconomics-how-the-asset-debt-macroeconomic-system-works\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Quantitative Saturation Macroeconomics: How the Asset-Debt Macroeconomic System Works<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5214","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5214","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5214"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5214\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5215,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5214\/revisions\/5215"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5214"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5214"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5214"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}