{"id":5032,"date":"2020-06-06T15:17:42","date_gmt":"2020-06-06T15:17:42","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/?p=5032"},"modified":"2020-06-07T13:23:39","modified_gmt":"2020-06-07T13:23:39","slug":"why-an-spx-of-less-than-1000-by-june-18-2020-an-accumulated-mount-everest-amount-of-underlying-bad-global-corporate-private-and-federal-debt-undergoing-re-evaluation-collapse-akin-to-an-aged-st","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/2020\/06\/06\/why-an-spx-of-less-than-1000-by-june-18-2020-an-accumulated-mount-everest-amount-of-underlying-bad-global-corporate-private-and-federal-debt-undergoing-re-evaluation-collapse-akin-to-an-aged-st\/","title":{"rendered":"Why A SPX of Less Than 1000 by June 18 2020?  An Accumulated Amount of Unsustainable Underlying Bad Global Corporate, Private,  Federal,  And State Debt And Social Contract Obligations  Is Now Undergoing a Nonlinear Phase Transition of Revaluation  Collapse &#8211; Akin to  An Aged Star Without Sufficient Nuclear Fuel Undergoing Black Hole Collapse"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>From the December 2018 SPX weekly low:<\/p>\n<p>11\/26\/26\/16 of 18 week final fractal series :: x\/2.5x\/2.5x\/1.6y.<\/p>\n<p>Nonlinearity and rapid phase transitions are<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>characteristic of the observable universe: supernova and GRB events, black hole event horizons, tornados, earthquakes,<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>breaking dams, mudslides and<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>death.<\/p>\n<p>Observable from the December 2018 low for the hegemonic US proxy SPX and concluding the US Hegemonic 89 year Third Fractal starting in 1932 and<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>which was composed of two subfractal series<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>of 51 and 39 years<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span>is a<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>11\/26\/26\/16 of 18 week fractal :: x\/2.5x\/2.5x\/1.6y.<\/p>\n<p>Historical US Third Fractal 89 year nonlinearity is expected<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>over the next 9 equivalent trading days.<\/p>\n<p>Trading halts are anticipated. Friday 5 June 2020 was an easily observable technical gapped blow-off.<\/p>\n<p>Nonlinear gapped 5 June 2020 secondary global equity peak valuation and global asset valuation collapse \u2026<\/p>\n<p>Why the<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Equity and commodity great decline valuation ahead?<\/p>\n<p>The US Debt clock estimates<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>the debt obligations and liabilities of the US.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>The composite corporate, private, and governmental debt liabilities of the<\/p>\n<p>Euro and Asian countries are<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>similar. The debt obligations are both enormous and unrepayable. Only negative interest rates can sustain these debt loads.<\/p>\n<p>A Great<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Global Nonlinear fractal transition<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>is now transpiring; first the final nonlinear<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>gapped<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>valuation blow-off occurring on Friday 5 June 2020, followed by a historical nonlinear valuation collapse of equities and commodities.<\/p>\n<p>individual asset valuations will be revalued in the remaining denominator of the repayable good debt and the collectively re-equilibrated totality of worth of the Global Asset Valuation Integral.<\/p>\n<p>At the base of the economic pyramid are global service workers who obligate themselves with debt to purchase automobiles,<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>motor bikes, furniture, appliances, cell phones,<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>and<\/p>\n<p>other debt-reachable attainable commodities. <span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Robotics in the next decade will replace millions of<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>global factory workers.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>While the virus provides an explanation for the global service worker debt-creation collapse, its appearance occurs near the 26 week of the final 11\/26\/26 week SPX valuation growth fractal series.<\/p>\n<p>The daily fractal decay series to the March 2020 SPX low was<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>2\/5\/4 and 3\/8\/8 days or 25 days. The second decay fractal series is expected to be 62-63 day with this 25 day decay base.<\/p>\n<p>The final gapped peak valuation<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>and nonlinear valuation collapse is expected in a single<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>fractal series 3\/7\/7 days :: 3\/4 (gapped peak valuation) of 7\/7 (7.5 hour equivalent)<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>trading days: <span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>The<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Case for the \u00a0Science of\u00a0Observational Quantitative Fractal Valuation Growth And Decay Asset-Debt \u00a0Saturation Macroeconomics<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>From the December 2018 Composite Equity nadir valuation low:\u00a0x\/2-2.5x\/2-2.5x\/1.6y :: 11\/26\/26\/16 of 18 weeks : on a daily basis nonlinearity can be observed between the 22nd and 23rd week of the second 26 week fractal. (see main page regarding second fractal nonlinearity)<\/p>\n<p>This correlates to 3\/7\/7\/4 of 5 months.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>On a daily basis for the CRB, the fractal progression is 5\/11\/10\/4 of 7 days.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>An 1987 like collapse is expected over the\u00a0next three trading days.<\/p>\n<p>This web site makes<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>the observation<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>that the asset debt economic<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>system is mechanistic and quantitative in its nature following simple growth and decay fractal valuation patterns<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>so precise that \u2018the mathematical laws\u2019 and \u2018self assembly\u2019 of asset valuation<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>growth and decay are similar to physics and chemistry and biology.<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span>Asset Debt Saturation Macroeconomics likewise has the quality and property of a science.<\/p>\n<p>The simple ever recurring and easily observed quantitative fractal \u2018mathematical laws\u2019 determined by the nadir asset valuation are:(y connotes final valuation low for the individual fractal series pattern)<\/p>\n<p>x\/2-2.5x\/2-2.5y <span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>x\/2-2.5x\/2-2.5x\/1.4-1.6y<\/p>\n<p>and x\/2-2.5x\/1.5 to 2.5y<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span><\/p>\n<p>(the second fractal length of 2-2.5x determines the ideal base first fractal length; the third fractal is a 1.5 multiple of this ideal base.<\/p>\n<p>Qualitatively, the facilitated creation of excessive debt leads to overvaluation, overproduction, and over-ownership of assets. The system is self correcting with liquidation of bad debt\u00a0and a lower re-equilibrium of asset valuations with a lower total denominator of composite system wealth near the nadir of bad debt liquidation and lower asset composite valuation.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>All individual asset valuations are denominated in first time derivative of the composite of all other valuations.<\/p>\n<p>The fractal mathematical laws<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>of the composite asset valuations of the asset debt system are elegantly simple.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>While Central Banks\u2019 interventions can cause observational rises of subfractal components, the fractal grouping patterns are still there.<\/p>\n<p>In fact the observational patterns show the direct effect of central bank intervention.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>The US<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Hegemonic Asset Debt Macroeconomic<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>grand Fractal series had an initiating fractal base of about 18 years near the initiation of its constitution in 1790.<\/p>\n<p>The<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>first fractal started in 1807-8 and ended after the panic of 1837 in 1842-43 for a base fractal of 36 years. Its 90 year second fractal ended with nadir composite equity valuations in<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>1932.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Its\u00a089 year third fractal is expected to end very shortly (three trading days) in 2020.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>A fourth fractal is expected to end in 2074. (1.5y) The US 54 year fourth fractal will be supported with\u00a0necessary debt creation.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>A Look at the 1982 second subfractal series: 9\/20\/12 year :: x\/2-2.5x\/1.5y concluding US 1932 third fractal series:<\/p>\n<p>The monthly fractal progression of US composite Equities from the low in 2003 was made of two fractal series: 6\/13\/15\/10 months :: x\/2-2.5x\/2.5x\/1.6y\u00a0and a decay fractal of x\/2-2.5x\/1.5y : 9\/20\/12 months: The ideal base of a second 20 month fractal is 8 months with 1.5 times 8 months yielding a 12 month third fractal.<\/p>\n<p>What was the composite equity and CRB valuation<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>fractal effect of the global Central Bank intervention<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>on the 2008-2009 collapse? The 2\/5\/5\/3 month fractal\u00a0series composing the 12 month<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>third decay fractal begins a valuation climb in March 2009 at the beginning of<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>its third 5 month fractal.<\/p>\n<p>Note the<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>x\/2-2.5x\/1.5y fractal similarity of the 1982 9\/20\/12 year fractal series (completing the 89 year US Third Fractal) to the 9\/20\/12 month fractal series completing the<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span>second 20 year subfractal series which started in 1990.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Sans global<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>central Bank coordinated intervention, the expected unassisted starting point for the observed March 2009<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>composite<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>nadir was at the end of the 2\/5\/5\/3 month<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span>natural self assembly fractal series or September 2009<\/p>\n<p>From the expected September 2009 low (unassisted by Central Bank assumption of toxic debt and collaborative interCentral bank money printing and<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>interbank borrowing),<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>the two monthly subfractal series \u2013<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>2\/5\/4\/3 and 3\/7\/8 months ::<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>x\/2.5x\/2x\/1.5y and x\/2-2.5x\/2-2.5y, respectively \u2013 make up a 26 month base first fractal sequence of the final 12 year third subfractal.<\/p>\n<p>The final 12 year third fractal sequence of the 1982<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>9\/20\/12 year :: x\/2-2.5x\/1.5y decay fractal series (this second fractal subseries follow a 1932 10-11\/21\/21-22 53 year<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>first fractal subseries )\u00a0is composed of 26\/53\/52 of 53 months. (x\/2-2.5x\/2-2.5y)<\/p>\n<p>The second 53 month subfractal of the 26\/53\/52 of 53 series is composed of two fractal subseries 3\/7\/6 months and 8\/17\/17 months (x\/2-2.5x\/2.5x both subseries)<\/p>\n<p>The third 52 of 53 month series is composed of 10\/26\/18 of 19 months.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 The\u00a0integrative final series is 10\/25\/20 months)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>The first 10 month fractal is composed of a 2\/4\/4\/3 month series; the second 26 month fractal is composed of a 5\/11\/11 month series, and the third 19 month series a 3\/7\/7\/4 of 5 months series.<\/p>\n<p>The patterned asset composite valuation activity of the<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Asset Debt macroeconomic system is directly observational and is indisputable. What causes the ideal self assembly of mathematically precise<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>fractal asset valuation \u00a0growth and decay patterns?<\/p>\n<p>What causes the<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>mathematical laws and derived numerical constants of physics and the naturally occurring \u00a0self assembly of subatomic particles, atomic particles, molecules, plant and animal embryological development, stars, solar systems, galaxies and the universe?<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>The observational \u00a0self assembly highly patterned fractals defining the counterbalancing growth and decay of valuations of composite assets composing the asset debt macroeconomic system<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>confers upon that macroeconomic \u00a0system the properties of a science.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>From the December 2018 SPX weekly low: 11\/26\/26\/16 of 18 week final fractal series :: x\/2.5x\/2.5x\/1.6y. Nonlinearity and rapid phase transitions are\u00a0 characteristic of the observable universe: supernova and GRB events, black hole event horizons, tornados, earthquakes,\u00a0 breaking dams, mudslides and\u00a0 death. Observable from the December 2018 low for the hegemonic US proxy SPX and &hellip; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/2020\/06\/06\/why-an-spx-of-less-than-1000-by-june-18-2020-an-accumulated-mount-everest-amount-of-underlying-bad-global-corporate-private-and-federal-debt-undergoing-re-evaluation-collapse-akin-to-an-aged-st\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Why A SPX of Less Than 1000 by June 18 2020?  An Accumulated Amount of Unsustainable Underlying Bad Global Corporate, Private,  Federal,  And State Debt And Social Contract Obligations  Is Now Undergoing a Nonlinear Phase Transition of Revaluation  Collapse &#8211; Akin to  An Aged Star Without Sufficient Nuclear Fuel Undergoing Black Hole Collapse<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5032","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5032","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5032"}],"version-history":[{"count":12,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5032\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5046,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5032\/revisions\/5046"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5032"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5032"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5032"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}