{"id":4954,"date":"2020-01-12T22:12:29","date_gmt":"2020-01-12T22:12:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/?p=4954"},"modified":"2020-01-12T22:26:23","modified_gmt":"2020-01-12T22:26:23","slug":"the-quantitative-history-of-american-macroeconomics-the-greatest-ever-asset-debt-macroeconomic-quantitative-collapse-the-terminal-51113103-days-x2-2-5x2x-growth-fractal","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/2020\/01\/12\/the-quantitative-history-of-american-macroeconomics-the-greatest-ever-asset-debt-macroeconomic-quantitative-collapse-the-terminal-51113103-days-x2-2-5x2x-growth-fractal\/","title":{"rendered":"The Quantitative History of American Macroeconomics: The Greatest Ever Asset-Debt Macroeconomic Quantitative Collapse ::  The Terminal 51\/113\/103 Day :: x\/2-2.5x\/2x Growth Fractal"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/Slide08.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-3909\" src=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/Slide08-300x225.jpg\" alt=\"Slide08\" width=\"300\" height=\"225\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/Slide08-300x225.jpg 300w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/Slide08-400x300.jpg 400w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/Slide08.jpg 720w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Winter Wonderland \u2605True Romance \u2605 You&#039;re so cool\" width=\"474\" height=\"267\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/g8ypY534Vbc?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><b>The Quantitative History of American Macroeconomics: The Greatest Ever Asset-Debt Macroeconomic Quantitative Collapse ::<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>The Terminal 51\/113\/103 Day :: x\/2-2.5x\/2x Growth Fractal<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b><i><u>Nonlinear Asset Valuation Collapse&#8230;\u00a0<\/u><\/i><\/b><\/p>\n<p>Starting near the time of the endorsement of the US<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>constitution, it is the current and contemporary \u00a0time \u00a0frame of January 2020, that \u00a0is the historical time frame of the quantitative \u00a0asset \u00a0peak valuation \u00a0and the terminal portion of the 90 year Third Great Fractal cycle of the<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span>Great US Hegemonic Fractal Growth Cycle &#8211; \u00a0ending in a \u00a0classic \u00a0maximally extended x\/2.5x\/2.5x of x\/2.5x\/2.5x\/1.5x \u00a0:: 36\/90\/90\/54 year pattern.<\/p>\n<p>Since its inception, US (and prior hegemonic and global) periodic<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>job growth is synergistically associated with \u00a0large expansions of credit and debt-based growth on that job expansion\u00a0which causes further job expansion causing further credit expansion until a saturation area of asset production and relative overvaluation is reached.<\/p>\n<p>It is the observational theory of this web site that this known qualitative cyclical process is a time dependent (dt) and easily recognizable quantitative process.<\/p>\n<p>The system\u2019s assets&#8217;s valuations turn negative when the acceleration dt\/dt of debt expansion of the base population<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>slows to zero. The system\u00a0then undergoes nonlinear asset valuation<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>collapse and devaluation as bad debt undergoes default and debt based assets are \u2018revalued\u2019 and repossessed at a lower valuation and placed\u00a0on an oversupplied market relative to reduced jobs and nonlinearly contracted available credit.<\/p>\n<p>Starting about 1790 and ending in 1807-08 , an 18 year &#8216;initiating<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>US fractal\u2019 for a hegemonic three phase fractal cycle of debt dependent asset growth and terminal collapse was completed.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>This 18 year (1\/2x) initiating fractal cycle generated a x\/2.5x\/2.5x cycle of\u00a036\/90 and currently 89 years with respective cycle ends in 1842-43, 1932 and a projected end in 2020-2021\u00a0for a 36\/90\/89-90 year \u00a0three phase fractal cycle.<\/p>\n<p>The final cycle after 2020-21 is expected to be about 54 years. This will be a revealing and educational \u00a0cycle globally\u00a0as it will become evident that current debt<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>and future<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>social debt obligations cannot be mathematically paid for by future inflationary<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>economic expansion by\u00a0its base population as it has been in the past 235 years of \u00a0growth cycles.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 T<\/span>he only<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>forced option is sovereign money printing to pay for the accumulated debt and<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>past social contract<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>promises. This option has as its 2008 \u00a0precedent in \u00a0HR 1424.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/11\/Slide03.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-3707\" src=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/11\/Slide03-300x225.png\" alt=\"Slide03\" width=\"300\" height=\"225\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/11\/Slide03-300x225.png 300w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/11\/Slide03-399x300.png 399w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/11\/Slide03.png 850w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Since the 1932 global<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Great 2nd fractal low,<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>there have been two easily recognizable<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>three phase fractal series:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>a 50 year three phase cycle<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>of 10+\/21\/21 years<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>:: x\/2x\/2x<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>ending in 1982 and<\/li>\n<li>and 39 year three phase cycle of<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>9\/20\/11 of 11-12 years<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>expected to nadir in 2020 to 2021.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>The 89-90 year Great US Third Fractal\u2019s short 2009 terminal third fractal series of 11-12 years matches the ending of 12 year third fractal from 1921 to 1932 which ended the<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span>1842-43 to 1932 90 year Great Second US Fractal.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>The 2009 three phase fractal series is a 31\/53\/currently 48 month cycle<\/p>\n<p>The third final 48 month<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>fractal current<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>is a 11\/26\/currently 14 month sequence.<\/p>\n<p>The 14 month sequence is composed of 51\/113\/currently 103 days or x\/2-2.5x\/2x growth sequence. Collapse is imminent.<\/p>\n<p>Expect a well defined<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>self organized decay fractal over the 14 trading days of historical devaluation possibly a 4\/8\/6 day devolution.<\/p>\n<p>The fractal pattern of summation commodity valuations, i.e., CRB is well aligned with that the US equities.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Just as the CRB index collapsed in parallel with global equity valuations in\u00a02008-2009, expect a similar sharp decay pattern but over the next 14 trading days.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Quantitative History of American Macroeconomics: The Greatest Ever Asset-Debt Macroeconomic Quantitative Collapse ::\u00a0 The Terminal 51\/113\/103 Day :: x\/2-2.5x\/2x Growth Fractal Nonlinear Asset Valuation Collapse&#8230;\u00a0 Starting near the time of the endorsement of the US\u00a0 constitution, it is the current and contemporary \u00a0time \u00a0frame of January 2020, that \u00a0is the historical time frame of &hellip; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/2020\/01\/12\/the-quantitative-history-of-american-macroeconomics-the-greatest-ever-asset-debt-macroeconomic-quantitative-collapse-the-terminal-51113103-days-x2-2-5x2x-growth-fractal\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">The Quantitative History of American Macroeconomics: The Greatest Ever Asset-Debt Macroeconomic Quantitative Collapse ::  The Terminal 51\/113\/103 Day :: x\/2-2.5x\/2x Growth Fractal<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4954","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4954","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4954"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4954\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4960,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4954\/revisions\/4960"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4954"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4954"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4954"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}