{"id":4949,"date":"2019-11-17T14:35:16","date_gmt":"2019-11-17T14:35:16","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/?p=4949"},"modified":"2019-11-17T14:35:16","modified_gmt":"2019-11-17T14:35:16","slug":"the-great-november-2019-crash-the-simple-fractal-valuationdevaluation-saturation-math-of-the-global-asset-debt-macroeconomic-system","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/2019\/11\/17\/the-great-november-2019-crash-the-simple-fractal-valuationdevaluation-saturation-math-of-the-global-asset-debt-macroeconomic-system\/","title":{"rendered":"The Great November 2019 Crash: The Simple Fractal Valuation\/Devaluation Saturation Math of the Global Asset-Debt Macroeconomic  System"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong> The Great November 2019 Global Equity Nonlinear Crash:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong> As Deutsche Bank goes from its December lows: 7.5\/18\/15\/10 of 12 weeks :: x\/2.5x\/2x\/1.6x\u00a0so goes the Global Macroeconomic Asset Debt Valuation System:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/DB.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-4950\" src=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/DB-300x133.png\" alt=\"DB\" width=\"300\" height=\"133\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/DB-300x133.png 300w, http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/DB.png 455w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>In the face of global stagnation: default on bad global debt is at its qualitative \u00a0nonlinear break point.<\/p>\n<p>The global system \u00a0now has the dual burdens\u00a0 of enormous debt load and a non-expanding global economy.\u00a0\u00a0In the setting of a\u00a0 non-expanding economy to partially service and sustain the quality of \u00a0that debt, recognition will be made that the debt cannot be repaid\u00a0and it will under default initiating a cascade of asset devaluation and larger secondary derivative bet devaluations.<\/p>\n<p>From its December 2018 lows, the Deutsche Bank weekly fractal series conveys the true state of both the European and Global Macroeconomic system.\u00a0Quantitatively Deutsche Bank\u2019s weekly fractal series and current week of that fractal series exactly matches the Global Macroeconomy\u2019s position of sudden nonlinear collapse.<\/p>\n<p>The inability and failure to further expand and inflate to sustain debt quality represents the exact conditions of a terminal illness for global asset-debt system&#8217;s<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>peak cycle asset valuations.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Like death, asset devaluation is a sudden nonlinear event.<\/p>\n<p>Was the US Federal Reserve right in lowering interest rates and encouraging citizens to preferentially place their money in a stock market deterministically destined to collapse within a fixed time fractal frame?<\/p>\n<p>The Reserve can make the claim that it was attempting to<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>do everything it<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>could to prevent the inevitable.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>For Deutsche Bank, its weekly fractal series is telltale of a nonlinear collapse occurring over the next 7 to 8 trading days. Deutsche Bank\u2019s first and second fractals are in\u00a0a classical Lammert Fractal pattern of x\/2.5x :: 7.5\/18 weeks.<\/p>\n<p>Deutsche Bank\u2019s third and fourth weekly fractals of the four phase series are interpolated into two subfractal series of 2\/5\/4\/3 weeks and \u00a03\/7\/6 of 8 week series with a peak valuation on week 15 of the interpolated series or week 2x of the x\/2.5x\/2x :: 7.5\/18\/15 week fractal growth series. The 4th week fractal is composed of 12 weeks starting from the 15 week high of the third fractal for a completed fractal series from the December low of 7.5\/18\/15\/12 weeks :: x\/2.5x\/2x\/1.5-1.6x. \u00a0Nonlinearity\u00a0and DB devaluation is expected in the next<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>8 trading days representing weeks 11 and 12 of the 4th descent fractal.<\/p>\n<p>For the SPX from its December 2018 low,<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>the final series is x\/2.5x\/2.5x\/1.5-1.6x :: 32\/79\/77\/42 of 50 days with the 1.5-1.6x 4th fractal in<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>a yx\u2019y\u2019<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>pattern with x\u2019 representing a 32 day blow-off<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0fractal.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>The SPX December 2018<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>low\u2019s first and second fractals of 32\/79days :: x\/2.5x<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0\u00a0exactly\u00a0<\/span>matches Deutsch Bank\u2019s December 2018 low\u2019s first and second weekly fractals. <span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>The SPX\u2019s third fractal has a secondary peak of<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>2.5x or 77 days. The first y descent of its 4th fractal<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>from the 77 day peak third fractal is part of a larger 16 day base descent fractal<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>for an expected 40 day second fractal.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>The blow off<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>x\u2019 fractal is now at the 32nd day with a gap higher on Friday 15 November 2018 ending near the high of the day. The x\u2019<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>32 day blow off fractal pattern (with a 16 day base descent fractal )<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span>is composed of two subfractals: 4\/9\/6 days and 5\/10\/3 days with an expected<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>y\u2019 descent of 8 days for a 16\/40 day :: x\/2.5x fractal series.<\/p>\n<p>Expect the inevitable deterministic \u00a0and mathematical expected. Expect system nonlinear devaluation.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; The Great November 2019 Global Equity Nonlinear Crash: As Deutsche Bank goes from its December lows: 7.5\/18\/15\/10 of 12 weeks :: x\/2.5x\/2x\/1.6x\u00a0so goes the Global Macroeconomic Asset Debt Valuation System: In the face of global stagnation: default on bad global debt is at its qualitative \u00a0nonlinear break point. The global system \u00a0now has the &hellip; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/2019\/11\/17\/the-great-november-2019-crash-the-simple-fractal-valuationdevaluation-saturation-math-of-the-global-asset-debt-macroeconomic-system\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">The Great November 2019 Crash: The Simple Fractal Valuation\/Devaluation Saturation Math of the Global Asset-Debt Macroeconomic  System<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4949","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4949","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4949"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4949\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4951,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4949\/revisions\/4951"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4949"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4949"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.economicfractalist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4949"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}