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18 March 06 Synchronized Growth And Decay - The Last Two 25 to 26 Weekly X and Y
Fractal Series
What are the odds that the following synchronization of the last two
major weekly and daily growth fractals X and Y and their decay
fractals, dx and dy respectively,for the US composite Wilshire has
occurred by chance alone?
First Growth Fractal:
29 April - 13 May 2005 12 days X
13 October - 27 October 2005 12 days Y
Second Growth Fractal:
13 May - 27 June 2005 2005 30.5 days 2.5X
27 October - 8 December 2005 29.5 days 2.5y
Third Growth Fractal to first major peak:
27 June - 28 July 2005 24days 2X
8 December 2005 - 11/12 January 2006 23/24 days 2Y
First Decay Fractal found in third growth peak:
25 July 2006 - 8 August 2005 11days dx
3 January 2006 - 20 January 2006 11 days dy
Second Decay Fractal;
(Ends on a low higher than the lowest low of the second decay fractal;
the growth within decay phenomena)
8 August 2005 -14/15 September 2005 27/28 days 2.5dx
20 January 2006 - 28 February 2006 27days 2.5dy
Third Decay Fractal to final peak:
14/15 September 2005 - 1 October 2005 13/14 days
CURRENTLY:
28 February 2006 - 16/17 March 2006 13/14 days.........
Third Fractal to primary inflection decay point:
14/15 September 2005 to 13 October 2005 21/22 days 2dx
(which starts the next 'Y' growth cycle)
Final bottom of Third decal Fractal:
(Found midway through first growth fractal of 'Y')
14/15 September -20 October 2005 26/27 days 2.5dx
20 October 2005 started the NYSE pattern of 30/60-75 days, now on its
74th of 75 days. The 74 day second fractal of this pattern is composed
of two sub fractals: 22 and 53 of 44-55 day. A nonlinear drop is still
anticipated. The NYSE second 75 day fractal ended in a blow-off
formation matching the peak at day 13/14 on 1 October 2005 of the
previous X growth and decay cycle. Retrospectively ... and
prospectively... this was an ideal blow off sequence to end the
Wilshre's right shoulder maximal growth phase consistent with the end
of idealized second fractal growth periods.
The long weekly cycle dating back to 1998 might reasonably be 63/158/158
vice 63/157.5/157.5.
What are the odds that these fractal growth and decay patterns are
occurring by chance alone? ...............Something close to
zero...............
Gary Lammert |